the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
A statistical study of the magnetic signatures of the unique Tonga volcanic explosion of 15 January 2022
Leonid Chernogor
Abstract. For the first time, a statistical study has been conducted of the geomagnetic bay and quasi-periodic disturbances based on the datasets collected at 19 recording stations participating in INTERMAGNET Magnetic Observatories. In order to identify the disturbances from the volcanic explosion, a preliminary analysis has been used of the state of space weather during the catastrophic Tonga volcanic explosion of 15 January 2022. We summarize the main results as follows: The non-monotony of the variations in the strength of all geomagnetic field components increased appreciably on the day of the explosion as compared to the variations observed during the days used as a quiet time reference, while the eastward component of the geomagnetic field exhibited an up to 60-nT increase in variability. The duration and time delay of the bay disturbances increased with distance from the volcano, while their amplitude decreased. The propagation speeds of the bay disturbances at various observatories were determined to be in the 700–1,000 m/s range. Six groups of time delays of quasi-sinusoidal disturbances have been identified in a simultaneous analysis for the first time; they correspond to the apparent speeds of 4 km/s, 1.5 km/s, 1 km/s, as well as 500 m/s, 313 m/s, and 200 m/s. The time delay in each group increased with distance away from the volcano. The agreement between theoretical estimates and the observational data testify to the adequacy of the mechanism adopted for the generation of the disturbances.
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Leonid Chernogor
Status: open (until 09 Oct 2023)
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CC1: 'Comment on angeo-2023-27', Yu Zheng, 27 Aug 2023
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After carefully reading the article «A statistical study of the magnetic signatures of the unique Tonga volcanic explosion of 15 January 2022» by L. F. Chernogor, I would like to note the following.
- The article matches the profile of the journal.
- The relevance of the topic is beyond doubt.
- To study the statistical characteristics, the author processed the data from 19 magnetic stations of the INTERMAGNET network.
- The article should be published in the Annales Geophysicae journal after the following minor remarks have been eliminated:
4.1. The wavelet transform was used in the systems spectral analysis, but the mother wavelet was not specified.
4.2. The paper contains a large number of references. Are they all necessary?
4.3. The state of space weather is described in too much detail.
4.4. Does bay disturbances have anisotropy?
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2023-27-CC1 -
AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Leonid Chernogor, 25 Sep 2023
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Dear Prof. Yu Zheng,
Thank you very much for your precious notes.
4.1. The Morlet wavelet was used as a basis function.
4.2. All the references are needed to verify the statements in the manuscript.
4.3. The description of the state of space weather is of importance primarily because it is needed for revealing the geomagnetic field variations caused by the Tonga volcano explosion.
4.4. Most likely.
Sincerely,
Leonid Chernogor.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2023-27-AC1
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CC2: 'Comment on angeo-2023-27', Jian Wang, 27 Aug 2023
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The manuscript is devoted to a topical issue of the magnetic effects of the explosive Tonga volcano in 2022. The author analyzed a large amount of data and determined the statistical characteristics of geomagnetic field disturbances. At the same time, the manuscript should be modified before it can be accepted for publication. Specific points to be addressed are:
1. The error in estimating the delay times is not indicated; they determine the propagation velocities of disturbances.
2. What is the error in estimating the duration of the disturbances?
3. Three papers in the bibliography are in press. The issue number and page number must be given if they have already been published.
4. Are the geomagnetic field variations after midnight (12:00 P.M.) related to the volcano's explosion?Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2023-27-CC2 -
AC2: 'Reply on CC2', Leonid Chernogor, 25 Sep 2023
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Dear Prof. Jian Wang,
Thank you very much for pointing out the necessary modifications to the manuscript.
- The time delay errors have been estimated to be 1–5 min, depending on the time rate of change of the geomagnetic field.
- An error in the estimates of the duration of the perturbations does not exceed 5 min.
- Part of our papers are in press to date.
- After midnight, the variations in the geomagnetic field are due to both Tonga volcano and the geomagnetic substorm.
Sincerely,
Leonid Chernogor.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2023-27-AC2
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AC2: 'Reply on CC2', Leonid Chernogor, 25 Sep 2023
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RC1: 'Comment on angeo-2023-27', Adrian Hitchman, 18 Sep 2023
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The comment was uploaded in the form of a supplement: https://angeo.copernicus.org/preprints/angeo-2023-27/angeo-2023-27-RC1-supplement.pdf
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AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Leonid Chernogor, 25 Sep 2023
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Dear Dr. Adrian Hitchman,
Thank you very much for wasting your precious time on checking my manuscript. I am really fortunate to have a world expert on geoscience to discuss my manuscript. Regarding what geomagnetic disturbance features are being identified in the observatory data, briefly, they are any changes in the magnetic field strengths arriving at different observatories with close apparent speeds, which correspond to the known speeds of waves of particular physical nature. This algorithm is described in Steps (i)–(vi) in detail below.
- In comparing the raw data plots in Figures 2 to 20 recorded on the day the volcano exploded and on the quiet days 13 and 17 January, it is apparent that the variations on the quiet days are smoother. On the day of the eruption, the character of the variations notably changed, which attests to the appearance of disturbances.
The method for finding a possible geomagnetic field response to the Tonga volcanic explosion is described in the manuscript (Line 115–128). The algorithm is as follows:
(i) Since the variations in the geomagnetic field may be caused by many powerful sources releasing significant amounts of energy, any characteristic changes in the variations in the strength of the X, Y, and Z components that were observed to occur after the volcanic explosion and could be associated with the explosion are highlighted at the first stage of employing the algorithm. This condition is necessary but insufficient.
(ii) At the second stage, the variations analogous to those that occurred on quiet time days and were due to, for example, diurnal variation, the solar terminator, etc., are filtered out.
(iii) Further, the possible time delays and apparent speeds are determined. The time delay should increase with distance from the volcano.
(iv) If some apparent speeds at different stations are substantially close to each other, they are included in a particular statistic. The closeness of the apparent speeds in this particular statistic is considered a sufficient condition for this particular disturbance to be due to the volcanic explosion.
(v) The physical significance of the apparent speeds is an additional sufficient condition: these speeds must correspond to the known speeds of waves of particular physical nature.
(vi) The results obtained are compared, if possible, with the results obtained for the volcanoes that exploded before.
It should also be mentioned that some of the results on the magnetic effect of Tonga volcano have already been described by other authors [Adushkin et al., 2022; Iyemori et al., 2022; Le et al., 2022; Schnepf et al., 2022; Soares et al., 2022; Yamazaki et al., 2022].
- The author considers that it is obligatory to describe the field variations on reference days because they are in the heart of the algorithm of finding the geomagnetic disturbance features (see Algorithm step (ii) above). This approach is generally accepted in geophysics (see, e.g., the textbook by Robert W. Schunk and Andrew F. Nagy, Ionospheres: Physics, Plasma Physics, and Chemistry, Second Edition, 2009, CUP).
- Megameters are commonly used for designating large distances in the same way as MHz, Mbyte, etc. (see, e.g., the textbook Introduction to Space Physics edited by M. G. Kivelson and C. T. Russell, Reprinted 1996, CUP).
- The transformations specified in the manuscript (Line 134) were used to estimate the periods. Due to the already large volume of the manuscript, the “kitchen” of processing itself is not given here.
- Conclusion. See this reply Section 1 above.
Sincerely,
Leonid Chernogor.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2023-27-AC3
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AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Leonid Chernogor, 25 Sep 2023
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Leonid Chernogor
Leonid Chernogor
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