Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2023-7
https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2023-7
14 Mar 2023
 | 14 Mar 2023
Status: this preprint has been withdrawn by the authors.

On the set of deterministic phenomena preceding the earthquake June 25, 2021 with a magnitude of 5.4 near the city of Yayladere (Turkey)

Alexandr Volvach, Lev P. Kogan, Konstantin H. Kanonidi, Igor Bubukin, Valeria B. Shtenberg, and Larisa N. Volvach

Abstract. The article examines the 5.4 magnitude earthquake that occurred on June 25, 2021 in the vicinity of Yayladere (Turkey). The analysis of the geomagnetic measurements carried out revealed a set of deterministic processes that preceded this event and are interpreted as its precursors. An estimate is made of the average time between the interval of existence of such phenomena and the moment of the earthquake under consideration. As a result, close values of the corresponding averaged time intervals were obtained for the statistics of all three components of the geomagnetic field considered in the article. The proposed technique can be used to predict seismic processes in various regions of the world in a near real-time mode.

This preprint has been withdrawn.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
Alexandr Volvach, Lev P. Kogan, Konstantin H. Kanonidi, Igor Bubukin, Valeria B. Shtenberg, and Larisa N. Volvach

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on angeo-2023-7', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 May 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on angeo-2023-7', Anonymous Referee #2, 24 May 2023

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on angeo-2023-7', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 May 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on angeo-2023-7', Anonymous Referee #2, 24 May 2023
Alexandr Volvach, Lev P. Kogan, Konstantin H. Kanonidi, Igor Bubukin, Valeria B. Shtenberg, and Larisa N. Volvach
Alexandr Volvach, Lev P. Kogan, Konstantin H. Kanonidi, Igor Bubukin, Valeria B. Shtenberg, and Larisa N. Volvach

Viewed

Total article views: 666 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
445 126 95 666 41 44
  • HTML: 445
  • PDF: 126
  • XML: 95
  • Total: 666
  • BibTeX: 41
  • EndNote: 44
Views and downloads (calculated since 14 Mar 2023)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 14 Mar 2023)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 642 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 642 with geography defined and 0 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 16 Jul 2024
Download

This preprint has been withdrawn.

Short summary
A new method is proposed for determining the precursors of upcoming earthquakes, which is based on the change in the level of small-scale fluctuations of the empirical probability density of the measured physical field under the influence of the process of "final preparation" of a seismic event. This makes it possible to study seismic processes with a fairly accurate reference to the current time.