Using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to calibrate probabilistic surface temperature forecasts over Iran

Soltanzadeh, I.; Azadi, M.; Vakili, G. A.

doi:10.5194/angeo-29-1295-2011

Articles | Volume 29, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-29-1295-2011

© Author(s) 2011. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-29-1295-2011

© Author(s) 2011. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 29, issue 7

21 Jul 2011

| 21 Jul 2011

Using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to calibrate probabilistic surface temperature forecasts over Iran

I. Soltanzadeh, M. Azadi, and G. A. Vakili

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Total article views: 2,447 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
970	1,422	55	2,447	82	129

HTML: 970
PDF: 1,422
XML: 55
Total: 2,447
BibTeX: 82
EndNote: 129

Views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Feb 2013	3	16	0	19
Mar 2013	7	18	1	26
Apr 2013	7	15	0	22
May 2013	9	0	9
Jun 2013	5	16	2	23
Jul 2013	11	19	0	30
Aug 2013	8	11	0	19
Sep 2013	1	17	0	18
Oct 2013	4	11	0	15
Nov 2013	5	11	0	16
Dec 2013	7	11	2	20
Jan 2014	1	8	1	10
Feb 2014	4	12	2	18
Mar 2014	15	12	1	28
Apr 2014	3	12	2	17
May 2014	3	13	0	16
Jun 2014	3	12	0	15
Jul 2014	3	19	0	22
Aug 2014	3	23	1	27
Sep 2014	2	17	1	20
Oct 2014	2	36	0	38
Nov 2014	7	15	0	22
Dec 2014	1	21	0	22
Jan 2015	2	41	1	44
Feb 2015	5	17	1	23
Mar 2015	5	2	0	7
Apr 2015	8	3	0	11
May 2015	6	6	0	12
Jun 2015	22	3	0	25
Jul 2015	14	1	0	15
Aug 2015	4	8	0	12
Sep 2015	4	6	0	10
Oct 2015	9	1	0	10
Nov 2015	12	3	0	15
Dec 2015	2	1	0	3
Jan 2016	10	10	0	20
Feb 2016	8	20	1	29
Mar 2016	7	13	0	20
Apr 2016	6	9	0	15
May 2016	4	6	0	10
Jun 2016	6	2	0	8
Jul 2016	4	6	1	11
Aug 2016	5	9	0	14
Sep 2016	7	10	0	17
Oct 2016	6	11	0	17
Nov 2016	3	7	0	10
Dec 2016	4	6	0	10
Jan 2017	3	5	0	8
Feb 2017	2	10	0	12
Mar 2017	8	18	0	26
Apr 2017	11	23	0	34
May 2017	10	22	0	32
Jun 2017	8	31	0	39
Jul 2017	8	10	0	18
Aug 2017	1	7	0	8
Sep 2017	3	14	0	17
Oct 2017	3	16	0	19
Nov 2017	6	19	1	26
Dec 2017	2	16	0	18
Jan 2018	5	16	0	21
Feb 2018	4	12	0	16
Mar 2018	4	19	0	23
Apr 2018	5	16	0	21
May 2018	2	22	0	24
Jun 2018	5	18	0	23
Jul 2018	2	14	0	16
Aug 2018	4	22	0	26
Sep 2018	5	22	0	27
Oct 2018	8	19	0	27
Nov 2018	4	13	0	17
Dec 2018	5	8	0	13
Jan 2019	3	5	0	8
Feb 2019	11	8	0	19
Mar 2019	7	3	0	10
Apr 2019	6	7	0	13
May 2019	7	9	0	16
Jun 2019	4	7	0	11
Jul 2019	1	11	0	12
Aug 2019	5	7	0	12
Sep 2019	1	1	0	2
Oct 2019	1	5	1	7
Nov 2019	1	5	0	6
Dec 2019	2	2	0	4
Jan 2020	9	7	0	16
Feb 2020	2	5	0	7
Mar 2020	1	4	0	5
Apr 2020	1	3	0	4
May 2020	4	5	0	9
Jun 2020	8	7	0	15
Jul 2020	12	9	3	24
Aug 2020	6	9	4	19
Sep 2020	4	4	0	8
Oct 2020	5	8	0	13
Nov 2020	4	6	0	10
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Jan 2021	12	7	0	19
Feb 2021	9	5	0	14
Mar 2021	6	8	0	14
Apr 2021	4	4	0	8
May 2021	4	5	0	9
Jun 2021	5	4	0	9
Jul 2021	6	5	0	11
Aug 2021	5	7	0	12
Sep 2021	8	4	0	12
Oct 2021	4	22	0	26
Nov 2021	14	11	0	25
Dec 2021	12	4	0	16
Jan 2022	10	5	0	15
Feb 2022	5	8	1	14
Mar 2022	7	6	0	13
Apr 2022	4	4	1	9
May 2022	4	1	0	5
Jun 2022	5	5	0	10
Jul 2022	6	5	0	11
Aug 2022	6	4	0	10
Sep 2022	3	2	0	5
Oct 2022	6	6	0	12
Nov 2022	12	5	0	17
Dec 2022	6	4	0	10
Jan 2023	7	5	0	12
Feb 2023	8	7	0	15
Mar 2023	5	7	0	12
Apr 2023	5	5	0	10
May 2023	5	5	3	13
Jun 2023	1	1	0	2
Jul 2023	7	2	1	10
Aug 2023	4	3	1	8
Sep 2023	7	6	2	15
Oct 2023	7	2	0	9
Nov 2023	3	0	3
Dec 2023	11	1	0	12
Jan 2024	3	4	0	7
Feb 2024	6	5	0	11
Mar 2024	13	8	3	24
Apr 2024	4	7	1	12
May 2024	11	5	2	18
Jun 2024	9	4	2	15
Jul 2024	6	1	2	9
Aug 2024	8	5	2	15
Sep 2024	5	4	0	9
Oct 2024	9	5	0	14
Nov 2024	7	1	2	10
Dec 2024	5	2	0	7
Jan 2025	9	4	0	13
Feb 2025	10	2	0	12
Mar 2025	8	8	0	16
Apr 2025	7	10	1	18
May 2025	10	4	0	14
Jun 2025	27	6	1	34
Jul 2025	8	7	0	15
Aug 2025	8	7	0	15
Sep 2025	20	9	1	30
Oct 2025	19	15	0	34
Nov 2025	12	12	1	25
Dec 2025	12	10	2	24
Jan 2026	5	0	5

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Feb 2013	3	16	0	19
Mar 2013	7	18	1	26
Apr 2013	7	15	0	22
May 2013	9	0	9
Jun 2013	5	16	2	23
Jul 2013	11	19	0	30
Aug 2013	8	11	0	19
Sep 2013	1	17	0	18
Oct 2013	4	11	0	15
Nov 2013	5	11	0	16
Dec 2013	7	11	2	20
Jan 2014	1	8	1	10
Feb 2014	4	12	2	18
Mar 2014	15	12	1	28
Apr 2014	3	12	2	17
May 2014	3	13	0	16
Jun 2014	3	12	0	15
Jul 2014	3	19	0	22
Aug 2014	3	23	1	27
Sep 2014	2	17	1	20
Oct 2014	2	36	0	38
Nov 2014	7	15	0	22
Dec 2014	1	21	0	22
Jan 2015	2	41	1	44
Feb 2015	5	17	1	23
Mar 2015	5	2	0	7
Apr 2015	8	3	0	11
May 2015	6	6	0	12
Jun 2015	22	3	0	25
Jul 2015	14	1	0	15
Aug 2015	4	8	0	12
Sep 2015	4	6	0	10
Oct 2015	9	1	0	10
Nov 2015	12	3	0	15
Dec 2015	2	1	0	3
Jan 2016	10	10	0	20
Feb 2016	8	20	1	29
Mar 2016	7	13	0	20
Apr 2016	6	9	0	15
May 2016	4	6	0	10
Jun 2016	6	2	0	8
Jul 2016	4	6	1	11
Aug 2016	5	9	0	14
Sep 2016	7	10	0	17
Oct 2016	6	11	0	17
Nov 2016	3	7	0	10
Dec 2016	4	6	0	10
Jan 2017	3	5	0	8
Feb 2017	2	10	0	12
Mar 2017	8	18	0	26
Apr 2017	11	23	0	34
May 2017	10	22	0	32
Jun 2017	8	31	0	39
Jul 2017	8	10	0	18
Aug 2017	1	7	0	8
Sep 2017	3	14	0	17
Oct 2017	3	16	0	19
Nov 2017	6	19	1	26
Dec 2017	2	16	0	18
Jan 2018	5	16	0	21
Feb 2018	4	12	0	16
Mar 2018	4	19	0	23
Apr 2018	5	16	0	21
May 2018	2	22	0	24
Jun 2018	5	18	0	23
Jul 2018	2	14	0	16
Aug 2018	4	22	0	26
Sep 2018	5	22	0	27
Oct 2018	8	19	0	27
Nov 2018	4	13	0	17
Dec 2018	5	8	0	13
Jan 2019	3	5	0	8
Feb 2019	11	8	0	19
Mar 2019	7	3	0	10
Apr 2019	6	7	0	13
May 2019	7	9	0	16
Jun 2019	4	7	0	11
Jul 2019	1	11	0	12
Aug 2019	5	7	0	12
Sep 2019	1	1	0	2
Oct 2019	1	5	1	7
Nov 2019	1	5	0	6
Dec 2019	2	2	0	4
Jan 2020	9	7	0	16
Feb 2020	2	5	0	7
Mar 2020	1	4	0	5
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May 2020	4	5	0	9
Jun 2020	8	7	0	15
Jul 2020	12	9	3	24
Aug 2020	6	9	4	19
Sep 2020	4	4	0	8
Oct 2020	5	8	0	13
Nov 2020	4	6	0	10
Dec 2020	8	5	0	13
Jan 2021	12	7	0	19
Feb 2021	9	5	0	14
Mar 2021	6	8	0	14
Apr 2021	4	4	0	8
May 2021	4	5	0	9
Jun 2021	5	4	0	9
Jul 2021	6	5	0	11
Aug 2021	5	7	0	12
Sep 2021	8	4	0	12
Oct 2021	4	22	0	26
Nov 2021	14	11	0	25
Dec 2021	12	4	0	16
Jan 2022	10	5	0	15
Feb 2022	5	8	1	14
Mar 2022	7	6	0	13
Apr 2022	4	4	1	9
May 2022	4	1	0	5
Jun 2022	5	5	0	10
Jul 2022	6	5	0	11
Aug 2022	6	4	0	10
Sep 2022	3	2	0	5
Oct 2022	6	6	0	12
Nov 2022	12	5	0	17
Dec 2022	6	4	0	10
Jan 2023	7	5	0	12
Feb 2023	8	7	0	15
Mar 2023	5	7	0	12
Apr 2023	5	5	0	10
May 2023	5	5	3	13
Jun 2023	1	1	0	2
Jul 2023	7	2	1	10
Aug 2023	4	3	1	8
Sep 2023	7	6	2	15
Oct 2023	7	2	0	9
Nov 2023	3	0	3
Dec 2023	11	1	0	12
Jan 2024	3	4	0	7
Feb 2024	6	5	0	11
Mar 2024	13	8	3	24
Apr 2024	4	7	1	12
May 2024	11	5	2	18
Jun 2024	9	4	2	15
Jul 2024	6	1	2	9
Aug 2024	8	5	2	15
Sep 2024	5	4	0	9
Oct 2024	9	5	0	14
Nov 2024	7	1	2	10
Dec 2024	5	2	0	7
Jan 2025	9	4	0	13
Feb 2025	10	2	0	12
Mar 2025	8	8	0	16
Apr 2025	7	10	1	18
May 2025	10	4	0	14
Jun 2025	27	6	1	34
Jul 2025	8	7	0	15
Aug 2025	8	7	0	15
Sep 2025	20	9	1	30
Oct 2025	19	15	0	34
Nov 2025	12	12	1	25
Dec 2025	12	10	2	24
Jan 2026	5	0	5

Latest update: 10 Jan 2026