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Annales Geophysicae An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 14, issue 11
Ann. Geophys., 14, 1198–1206, 1996
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00585-996-1198-9
© European Geosciences Union 1996
Ann. Geophys., 14, 1198–1206, 1996
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00585-996-1198-9
© European Geosciences Union 1996

  30 Nov 1996

30 Nov 1996

On the seasonal effect of orbital variations on the climates of the next 4000 years

Julián Adem Julián Adem
  • El Colegio Nacional and Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, UNAM, 04510, México, D. F., México

Abstract. A northern hemisphere thermodynamic climate model is used to compute the effect of the insolation anomalies due to orbital variations in the climates for the next 4000 years. Berger's mean monthly anomalies of insolation are used in the computations, which are carried out for 1000, 2000, 3000 and 4000 years after present (kyears AP). The numerical simulations show that in the climates of the next 4000 years, due to the effect of the orbital variations, springs and summers will be increasingly dryer and falls and winters wetter than the present climate.

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