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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ANGEO</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Annales Geophysicae</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ANGEO</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Ann. Geophys.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1432-0576</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/angeo-38-703-2020</article-id><title-group><article-title>From the Sun to Earth: effects of the 25 August 2018<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> geomagnetic storm</article-title><alt-title>25 August 2018 geomagnetic storm</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{25~August~2018 geomagnetic storm}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{M.~Piersanti et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Piersanti</surname><given-names>Mirko</given-names></name>
          <email>mirko.piersanti@roma2.infn.it</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5207-2944</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>De Michelis</surname><given-names>Paola</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2708-0739</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3">
          <name><surname>Del Moro</surname><given-names>Dario</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2500-5054</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Tozzi</surname><given-names>Roberta</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1836-4078</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Pezzopane</surname><given-names>Michael</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Consolini</surname><given-names>Giuseppe</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3403-647X</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Marcucci</surname><given-names>Maria Federica</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Laurenza</surname><given-names>Monica</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Di Matteo</surname><given-names>Simone</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Pignalberi</surname><given-names>Alessio</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4 aff6">
          <name><surname>Quattrociocchi</surname><given-names>Virgilio</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Diego</surname><given-names>Piero</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Physics Department, Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFI), University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Istituto di Astrofisica e Planetologia Spaziali, Istituto Nazionale di Astrofisica (INAF-IAPS), Rome, Italy</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>Catholic University of America, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><institution>Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Mirko Piersanti (mirko.piersanti@roma2.infn.it)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>10</day><month>June</month><year>2020</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>38</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>703</fpage><lpage>724</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>16</day><month>December</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>10</day><month>January</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>28</day><month>April</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>28</day><month>April</month><year>2020</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2020 Mirko Piersanti et al.</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020.html">This article is available from https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e217">On 25 August 2018 the interplanetary counterpart of the 20 August 2018 coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth, giving rise to a strong G3 geomagnetic storm. We present a description of the whole sequence of events from the Sun to the ground as well as a detailed analysis of the observed effects on Earth's environment by using a multi-instrumental approach.
We studied the ICME (interplanetary-CME) propagation in interplanetary space up to the analysis of its effects in the magnetosphere, ionosphere and at ground level. To accomplish this task, we used ground- and space-collected data, including data from CSES (China Seismo-Electric Satellite), launched on 11 February 2018. We found a direct connection between the ICME impact point on the magnetopause and the pattern of Earth's auroral electrojets. Using the Tsyganenko TS04 model prevision, we were able to correctly identify the principal magnetospheric current system activating during the different phases of the geomagnetic storm. Moreover, we analysed the space weather effects associated with the 25 August 2018 solar event in terms of the evaluation of geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) and identification of possible GPS (Global Positioning System) losses of lock. We found that, despite the strong geomagnetic storm, no loss of lock had been detected. On the contrary, the GIC hazard was found to be potentially more dangerous than other past, more powerful solar events, such as the 2015 St Patrick's Day geomagnetic storm, especially at latitudes higher than <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">60</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the European sector.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e241">Geomagnetic storms and substorms are among the most important signatures of the variability in solar–terrestrial relationships. They are extremely complicated processes, which are triggered by the arrival of solar perturbations, such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs), solar flares, corotating interaction regions and so on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31 bib1.bibx5 bib1.bibx29 bib1.bibx66" id="paren.1"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>, and affect the entire magnetosphere. Indeed, these processes are both highly non-linear and multiscale, involving a wide range of plasma regions and phenomena in both the magnetosphere and ionosphere that mutually interact. Computer simulations and ground-based and space-borne observations over the last 30 years have highlighted such strong feedback and coupling processes <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.2"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>. This is the reason why in order to properly understand geomagnetic storms and magnetospheric substorms it is necessary to consider the entire chain of the processes as a single entity.</p>
      <p id="d1e254">When these processes are analysed, one has always to consider that the dynamic pressure of the solar wind and the<?pagebreak page704?> interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) control the strength and the spatial structure of the magnetosphere–ionosphere current systems, whose changes are at the origin of geomagnetic activity, i.e. of the variation of Earth's magnetospheric–ionospheric field as observed by space- and ground-based measurements. Indeed, a significant amount of solar wind plasma can be dropped off either directly in the polar ionosphere (polar cusp and cup) or stored in the equatorial central regions (the central plasma sheet, the current sheet, etc.) of Earth's magnetospheric tail, from where it is successively injected into the inner-magnetospheric regions such as, for instance, the radiation belts <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx30" id="paren.3"/>. The growth of the trapped particle population in the inner magnetosphere produces a significant increase of the ring current, while the energy released from the magnetotail and injected into the high-latitude ionosphere, together with that directly deposited in the polar regions, is responsible for an enhancement of the auroral-electrojet current systems <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx51" id="paren.4"/>. The importance of studying these processes lies not only in understanding the physical processes which characterize the solar–terrestrial environment but also in its impact on the technological and anthropic systems. Indeed, nowadays geomagnetic storms and substorms have become an important concern, being potentially able to damage the anthropic infrastructures at ground level and in space, as well as harm human health <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx3 bib1.bibx28 bib1.bibx43 bib1.bibx45 bib1.bibx73 bib1.bibx32" id="paren.5"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. As a consequence, these processes play an important role in the space weather framework where the applications and societal relevance of the phenomena are much more explicit than in solar–terrestrial physics <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx44" id="paren.6"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e271">In this paper, we analysed a recent solar event that occurred on 20 August 2018, which affected Earth's environment on 25 August 2018, giving rise to a G3 geomagnetic storm (i.e. when the Kp index is equal to 7). We used a transversal approach to describe the whole sequence of events from the Sun to the ground. We carried out an interdisciplinary study starting from the analysis of the CME at the origin of the storm to its propagation in interplanetary space (hereafter, interplanetary CME – ICME) and down to the analysis of the effects produced by the arrival of this perturbation in the magnetosphere, ionosphere and at ground level. We used measurements recorded on board satellites and at ground stations, in order to both follow the event evolution and focus our attention on its ionospheric and geomagnetic effects measured at different latitudes and longitudes. Namely, we discuss how the activity of the solar atmosphere and solar wind, travelling in interplanetary space, has been able to deeply influence the conditions of Earth's magnetosphere and ionosphere or more generically has been able to deeply influence the solar–terrestrial environment. We studied the propagation through the heliosphere of the CME, trying to take into consideration the complicated and multifaceted nature of its interaction with the ambient solar wind and the magnetosphere and on the geomagnetic and ionospheric effects caused by this event. We exploit data from both satellites and ground-based observatories, whose integration is fundamental to describe the effects on Earth's environment produced by solar activity. We collected and processed data from low-Earth-orbit satellites, specifically ESA (European Space Agency) Swarm (Friis-Christensen et al., 2006, 2008) and CSES (China Seismo Electromagnetic Satellite; Wang et al., 2019), and ground-based magnetometers. More than 80 magnetic observatories located all over the globe (all those available for the period under investigation) were involved in the analysis. To characterize ionospheric irregularities and fluctuations, we used the rate of change of electron density index (RODI; specifications about the calculation of this index can be found in Appendix A) estimated from the electron density measured by CSES. To understand how the presence of such irregularities could have affected navigation systems, we have also considered total electron content (TEC) values from Swarm to highlight a possible loss of lock, a condition under which a Global Positioning System (GPS) receiver no longer tracks the signal sent by the satellite, with a consequent degradation of the positioning accuracy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx41" id="altparen.7"/>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx100" id="altparen.8"/>). Finally, we evaluated possible geomagnetically induced current (GIC) hazard related to the main phase of the August 2018 geomagnetic storm, calculating the GIC index <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49 bib1.bibx90" id="paren.9"/> over two geomagnetic quasi-longitudinal arrays located in the European–African and in the North American sectors.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>CME – interplanetary propagation</title>
      <p id="d1e291">The solar event that has been associated with the magnetospheric disturbances under analysis that occurred on 20 August 2018.
The source was an extremely slow CME that was not detected by SOHO LASCO <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22 bib1.bibx6" id="paren.10"><named-content content-type="pre">Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph Experiment;</named-content></xref> and would be therefore classified as a stealth CME <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35" id="paren.11"/> if it was not imaged by STEREO-A COR2  <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx42 bib1.bibx34" id="paren.12"><named-content content-type="pre">Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory coronograph;</named-content></xref>. A CME is defined slow if <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CME</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>  where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>CME</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is its speed and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the speed of the background solar wind <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="paren.13"/>.
In this section, we present the characteristics of the CME at lift-off and of the ICME at L1 (the first Lagrangian point) and put forward an interpretation of its propagation  by using a modified drag-based model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx97 bib1.bibx55" id="paren.14"><named-content content-type="pre">P-DBM; </named-content></xref>.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>CME lift-off and interplanetary response</title>
      <p id="d1e379">While the CME was hardly visible in the field of view (FoV) of SOHO LASCO instruments, it could be easily seen in STEREO-A COR2 images, with an angular width of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≃</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.
The CME appears as a diffuse, slow plasma structure, entering COR2 FoV on 20 August 2018 at 16:00 UT (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> h) and reaching the FoV edge on 21 August 2018 at 08:00 UT (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> h).
From this timing, we can estimate a PoS (plane of sky) velocity for the CME <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PoS</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">160</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e457">Image of the Sun with EUV SDO AIA193 (extreme-ultraviolet NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory Atmospheric Imaging Assembly 19.3 nm) imagers at the time of the filament eruption. The red circle marks the position of the filament eruption associated with the CME; the yellow contour marks the position of the coronal hole. Image created using the ESA- and NASA-funded Helioviewer Project.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e466">The most probable source for the CME is a filament eruption that was observed on 20 August 2018 at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">08</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:00 UT at heliographic coordinates <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Sun</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Sun</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on the solar surface (red circle in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>).
The filament ejection was recorded by SDO AIA <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx62 bib1.bibx46" id="paren.15"><named-content content-type="pre">NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory Atmospheric Imaging Assembly;</named-content></xref> imagers.
Considering the relative positions of STEREO-A at the moment of the CME lift-off, the source on the Sun, the information provided by the CDAW (Coordinated Data Analysis Workshop) catalogue of CMEs and the hypothesis of radial propagation, we can de-project the CME velocity and estimate its radial velocity at about 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Sun</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>rad</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">350</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.
In this respect, we report that the derived radial velocity is lower than the median of the CME speed distribution <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx101" id="paren.16"/> and confirms that CMEs associated with filament eruption tend to be slower than those associated with flares <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="paren.17"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>.</p>
      <p id="d1e581">We also note that, at the time of lift-off, a sizable coronal hole (yellow contour in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>) was present at heliographic coordinates <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Sun</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≃</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Sun</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≃</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that would generate a fast solar wind stream that could affect the CME propagation.
Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/> shows the ICME detection by WIND <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx47" id="paren.18"/>, DSCOVR <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8" id="paren.19"/> and ACE <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx86" id="paren.20"/> spacecraft located approximately at the L1 point.
An interplanetary (IP) shock passed the three spacecrafts respectively at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:37, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:42 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:43 UT on 24 August 2018.
This IP shock was characterized by a small variation of the solar wind (SW) density (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> cm<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> cm<inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> cm<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), velocity (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW,W</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW,D</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW,A</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), dynamic pressure (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW,W</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nPa, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW,D</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nPa and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SW</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nPa) and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) strength (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IMF</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IMF</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IMF</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ACE</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT). In agreement with the Rankine–Hugoniot conditions, the shock normal for the three spacecrafts was oriented at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Θ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">130</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Θ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">140</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Θ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">SE</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (solar ecliptic coordinate system). The estimated shock speeds were respectively <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sh</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sh</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">sh</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">340</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Therefore, the predicted time of the impact of the IP shock onto the magnetosphere was at 06:14 UT (32 min after DSCOVR observations). The predicted location of the shock impact at the magnetopause, assuming a planar propagation, was at 07:00 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">00</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:15) LT (i.e. on the morning side of the magnetopause), corresponding, in the ecliptic plane, to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSE</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.0</mml:mn><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>E</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSE</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20.0</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>E</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (GSE is the geocentric solar ecliptic reference system and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>E</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is Earth's radius; Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>g).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1313">Solar wind parameters observed by WIND (red), ACE (green) and DSCOVR (black) spacecraft at L1: <bold>(a)</bold> proton density; <bold>(b)</bold> velocity, <bold>(c)</bold> proton temperature, <bold>(d)</bold> IMF intensity and <bold>(e–f)</bold> IMF orientation (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Θ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SE</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SE</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively) in the SE coordinate system. The vertical horizontal green and blue lines in <bold>(f)</bold> represent the expected orientation of the Parker spiral at L1. The red dashed line indicates an interplanetary shock as observed on 24 August at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:43 UT (not related to the magnetic cloud structure). The red shaded region identifies the ICME. The cyan and green shaded regions shows the CIR and the HSS, respectively. <bold>(g)</bold> Interplanetary shock propagation in the ecliptic plane. Please note that the format of the date on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis of <bold>(a–f)</bold> is month/day.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1387">We note that, in principle, the creation of the shock is not incompatible with a slow CME, since the shock can be created by the expansion of the CME as it equalizes its pressure with the interplanetary plasma. Nevertheless, this shock advanced the ICME by more than 30 h. Considering this long time separation, in our opinion this IP shock was not generated by the ICME under analysis.</p>
      <p id="d1e1390">The 20 August ICME included a significant magnetic cloud, observed at Earth's orbit between 25 August at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:15 UT and 26 August at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:00 UT, whose boundaries are determined <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="paren.21"/> according to the magnetic field behaviour conjoint with the temperature, the velocity and the density of protons, as depicted in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>: the plasma temperature decreases from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> K to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> K; the total magnetic field increases to 16 nT, remaining there for approximately 12 h; the magnetic field smoothly rotated, leading to a pronounced and prolonged southward orientation (beginning at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:30 UT on 25 August) for approximately 22 h and the solar wind speed fluctuated between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">450</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">370</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. A co-rotating interaction region (CIR) followed on 26 August, with the solar wind plasma showing a velocity (temperature) increase at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:00 UT from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">370</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> K) to near <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">550</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> K) at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:20 UT and a density increase from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> cm<inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, as the solar wind stream was transitioning into a negative-polarity high-speed stream (HSS).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1629">Scheme for the propagation of the CME in the inner heliosphere. The positions of the inner planets and Parker Solar Probe (Parker SP) at the time of the ICME arrival at 1 au are represented by coloured symbols. The ICME trajectory computed by the P-DBM model is represented by the orange-shaded area. The lighter-orange areas represent the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> uncertainty about the ICME trajectory from the 10 000 different model runs.
The grey-shaded area represents instead the fast solar wind stream.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=227.622047pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>A model for the propagation of the ICME</title>
      <p id="d1e1656">To describe the ICME propagation in the heliosphere, we used the P-DBM <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55 bib1.bibx18" id="paren.22"/> model. Considering the presence of the coronal hole (CH) on the Sun at the time of the CME lift-off and the CIR observations of in situ data, we proposed the following scenario, where
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1664">the ICME propagation is longitudinally deflected by its interaction with the solar wind, as in Eq. (8) of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx38" id="text.23"/>;</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1671">the ICME is later overtaken by the fast solar wind stream from the identified CH at a distance <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Mix</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>;</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1686"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Mix</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is computed considering the time for the CH to rotate in the appropriate direction plus the time for the stream to catch up with the ICME.</p></list-item></list></p>
      <p id="d1e1699">Applying the same philosophy behind the P-DBM, the longitude of the fast wind stream, generated by the CH, has been associated with a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.5</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> error with a Gaussian distribution.</p>
      <?pagebreak page707?><p id="d1e1714">From 10 000 runs of this model, the most probable result are that the ICME arrival time and velocity at 1 au are 25 August 2018 at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>1 au</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:00 UT (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> h) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>1 au</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">440</mml:mn><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">70</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively, and the fast solar wind stream interacts with the ICME beyond <inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Mix</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.1</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> au. These values agree nicely with estimates of the actual arrival characteristics of the ICME as derived in the previous section.</p>
      <p id="d1e1801">As discussed in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx74" id="text.24"/>, a CIR would form by the interaction of an HSS with the preceding slower (in this case) ICME.
Approximately 1 d later than <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>1 au</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the rotation of the Sun brings the CIR to sweep over Earth's position, followed by an HSS.
Last, this model predicts that the ICME that hit Earth would instead miss Mars and possibly also the Parker Solar Probe (PSP), which had been recently launched <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx24" id="paren.25"/>. While no data is available for the PSP at that date, no solar particle event was actually detected in the following days by the instrumentation on board MAVEN <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="paren.26"><named-content content-type="pre">Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution;</named-content></xref>.
A graphical representation of this result is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>, where the position of the inner planets and of the Parker Solar Probe at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>1 au</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are represented by coloured symbols.
The orange area represents the trajectory of the ICME, with lighter orange areas representing the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> uncertainty about its trajectory from the 10 000 different model runs.
The grey area represents the part of the inner heliosphere affected by the HSS at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>1 au</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Magnetospheric–ionospheric system response</title>
      <p id="d1e1870">A complete and accurate knowledge of the magnetospheric–ionospheric coupling and of its dynamics in response to the changes of the interplanetary medium conditions is critical to many aspects of space weather. It is, indeed, well-known that the changes of the IMF and of the solar wind features, in terms of magnetic field orientation, plasma density, velocity, etc., are capable of generating a fast increase of the magnetospheric–ionospheric current intensities which manifests in multiscale and rapid fluctuations of the ground-based magnetic field. The response of the magnetosphere–ionosphere system to interplanetary changes is however the consequence of both directly driven, i.e. large-scale plasma convection enhancement, and triggered-internal phenomena, such as loading–unloading mechanisms, sporadic plasma energizations in the magnetotail and bursty-bulk flows <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="paren.27"/>. The response of such a system is strongly dependent on the magnetospheric plasma internal state, with a specific emphasis on the magnetotail central plasma sheet status. The result of the interplay between internal dynamics and directly driven processes has very complex dynamics, showing scale-invariant features typical of non-equilibrium critical phenomena <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11 bib1.bibx16 bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx14 bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx81 bib1.bibx93 bib1.bibx94" id="paren.28"/>. In a series of recent papers <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx1 bib1.bibx2" id="paren.29"/> the existence of a separation of timescales between directly driven and triggered internal timescales in the response of Earth's magnetosphere–ionosphere current systems as estimated by means of geomagnetic indices in the course of magnetic storms and substorms has been clearly shown. This separation of timescales is one of the fingerprints of the complex character of the geomagnetic response, which makes it very difficult to get a reliable forecast of its short-timescale dynamics.</p>
      <p id="d1e1882">In this section, we investigate the magnetospheric–ionospheric response during the August 2018 geomagnetic storm. On one hand, the magnetosphere accumulates energy from the solar wind and dissipates it through geomagnetic storms, driving large electrical currents. On the other hand, these currents close down into the ionosphere, producing large-scale magnetic disturbances, such as the auroral electrojets, DP-2 current system, prompt penetrating electric field and so on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66 bib1.bibx63" id="paren.30"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>. Some of these features and phenomena will be discussed in the next sections for the investigated August 2018 geomagnetic storm.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Magnetosphere</title>
      <?pagebreak page708?><p id="d1e1897">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>a shows the response of the magnetosphere to the front boundary of the magnetic cloud. According to the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx79" id="text.31"/> model, the magnetopause nose moves inward up to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7.1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>E</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Indeed, the shape of the magnetospheric field lines before (black lines) and soon after (red lines) the arrival of the magnetic cloud, evaluated by means of the TS04 model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx92" id="paren.32"/>, shows large field erosion. Correspondingly, GOES 14 (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite; panels b, d and f) and GOES 15 (panels c, e and g) show, on 25 August at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">06</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:30 UT, a strong compression (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>G14</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>G15</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">22</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT) of the magnetic field coupled with a stretching of the magnetotail field lines, due to the southward switching of the IMF orientation <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95 bib1.bibx65 bib1.bibx66" id="paren.33"><named-content content-type="pre">as already found by</named-content></xref>. This situation completely changes between 25 August at 13:55 UT and 26 August at 10:25 UT, corresponding to the lowest values of the southward IMF (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>IMF</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) in the magnetic cloud. In fact, both GOES 14 and GOES 15 show a strong decrease of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (panels f and g), interpreted in terms of magnetic reconnection between the magnetospheric field and the strong <inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>IMF</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT) observed in the corresponding interval <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.34"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>. Interestingly, both GOES satellites show a huge increase of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> component (panels b and c) and a negative and then positive variation in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> component (panels d and e). This behaviour is the signature of a strong stretching and twisting of the magnetospheric field lines during the main phase of the geomagnetic storm <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx64 bib1.bibx66" id="paren.35"/>. This scenario is confirmed by a modified <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx92" id="text.36"><named-content content-type="pre">TS04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>;</named-content></xref> model indicated by red dashed lines in  Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>. Model changes include the magnetopause and the ring current alone, during the main phase, and the concurring contribution of both the ring and the tail currents, during the recovery phase. The TS04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> model represents very well the magnetospheric observations at geosynchronous orbit, with an average correlation coefficient (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) for the three magnetic field components: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.92</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for GOES 14 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.75</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for GOES 15.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e2134"><bold>(a)</bold> Magnetospheric field lines configurations as predicted by the TS04 model before (black lines) and after (red lines) the passage of the front boundary of the magnetic cloud. <bold>(b, d, f)</bold> Magnetospheric field observations along <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSM</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(b)</bold>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSM</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(d)</bold> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSM</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (geocentric solar magnetospheric coordinates) <bold>(f)</bold> at GOES 14 (LT <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> UT <inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5) geosynchronous orbit. <bold>(c, e, f)</bold> Magnetospheric field observations along <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSM</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(b)</bold>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSM</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(d)</bold> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi><mml:mtext>GSM</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(f)</bold> at GOES 15 (LT <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> UT <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 5) geosynchronous orbit. Red dashed lines represent the IGRF <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> TS04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (IGRF being the International Geomagnetic Reference Field) model prevision. Please note that the format of the date on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis is month/day.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2289">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a–c show the CSES  (China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite) satellite <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx78" id="paren.37"/> magnetic observations <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx102" id="paren.38"/> along the north–south (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; panel a), east–west (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mtext>E</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; panel b) and vertical (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; panel c) components after removing the internal and crustal contributions to Earth's magnetic field <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="paren.39"><named-content content-type="pre">using the CHAOS-6 model;</named-content></xref>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2340">CSES is a Chinese satellite launched on 11 February  2018 hosting, among others, a fluxgate magnetometer, an absolute scalar magnetometer, two Langmuir probes and two particle detectors. The satellite orbits at about 500 km of altitude (low-Earth orbit – LEO) in a quasi-polar Sun-synchronous orbit and passes at about 14 and 2 local time (LT) in its ascending and descending orbits, respectively.</p>
      <p id="d1e2343">As expected <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95" id="paren.40"/>, the greatest variations are observed along the horizontal components, where both the magnetospheric and ionospheric currents play a key role.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e2351">Magnetic field observations at the CSES orbit along geographic north–south <bold>(a)</bold>, east–west <bold>(b)</bold> and vertical <bold>(c)</bold>. MA.I.GIC. model applied to CSES magnetic data: panels <bold>(d–f)</bold> show the high-frequency timescales (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Hz <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mHz; <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> being the frequency) for the three components of the observed field; panels <bold>(g–i)</bold> show the low-frequency timescales (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Hz <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Hz) for the three components of the observed field. Red lines represent the TS04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> model previsions along the CSES orbit.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2490">In order to quantify both the magnetospheric- and ionospheric-origin contributions  at the CSES orbit, we applied the MA.I.GIC. (Magnetosphere‐-Ionosphere‐-Ground‐Induced Current) model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx68" id="paren.41"/> to discriminate between different timescale contributions in a time series. The results obtained are shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>d–i. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>d–f and g–i report high- (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Hz <inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mHz; <inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> being the frequency) and low-frequency (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Hz <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Hz) component observations, respectively. The low-frequency behaviour shows a strong and rapid decrease along the north–south direction during the main phase of the geomagnetic storm and a long-lasting increase during the recovery phase. On the other hand, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shows a negative and then positive variation during the main and the recovery phase, respectively. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is characterized by negligible variations. This behaviour is consistent with magnetospheric-origin field variations induced by the action of both the symmetric part of the ring current and tail current along <inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and of the asymmetric part of the ring current along <inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.42"/>. It is confirmed by the comparison between the CSES magnetospheric-origin contribution and the TS04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> model (red lines in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>d–i), in which we considered both the magnetopause and ring current alone during the main phase, and both the ring current and tail current alone during the recovery phase. It can be easily seen that TS04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> represents the variations along <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> well, while it is not able to reproduce the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> variations. This would suggest that the partial ring current field (with the effect of the field-aligned currents associated with the local-time asymmetry of the azimuthal near-equatorial current), which is not included in the TS04 model, plays a relevant role.</p>
      <p id="d1e2726">The high-frequency components show large variations along both <inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">HF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">HF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. This behaviour is consistent with the contributions due to the variations of the ionospheric current systems and to the magnetospheric–ionospheric coupling processes. In fact, the huge positive and then negative variations observed during the main phase along both the horizontal components can be imputable to the loading–unloading process between the magnetosphere and the ionosphere <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx66" id="paren.43"/>. On the other hand, the variations observed during the recovery phase, which are positive on average, can be due to the ionospheric DP-2 current system <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95 bib1.bibx65 bib1.bibx66" id="paren.44"/>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e2770">RODI values calculated on the basis of electron density values from CSES for 25–27 August 2018. Scale is logarithmic. Coordinates are geographical. Panels <bold>(a–c)</bold> show nighttime semi-orbits (ascending), while panels <bold>(d–f)</bold> show daytime semi-orbits (descending). Time increases leftward. On the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis, el stands for electrons.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Ionospheric response</title>
      <p id="d1e2800">The ionospheric plasma is often characterized by irregularities and fluctuations in the plasma density, especially during active solar conditions. We evaluated the RODI index, exploiting electron density measurements made by the CSES satellite <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx99" id="paren.45"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2806">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/> shows RODI values for 25–27 August 2018, in which nighttime semi-orbits (around 02:00 LT) are shown separately from daytime semi-orbits (around 14:00 LT).</p>
      <p id="d1e2811">Significant high values of RODI, spreading all over the meridian during the main phase of the storm (25 and 26 August 2018, especially the latter), for both nighttime and<?pagebreak page709?> daytime, are clearly seen, while on 27 August 2018, the RODI index comes back to lower values, even though some significant values of RODI are still visible in the Asian–Australian longitude sector at equatorial latitudes. This behaviour can be explained in terms of the presence, during the main phase, of ionospheric irregularities, especially at auroral and low latitudes. To understand whether this significant increase of irregularities could have caused space weather effects on navigation systems, we have considered vertical-total-electron-content (vTEC) data measured by Swarm satellites <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25 bib1.bibx26" id="paren.46"/> to look for some loss of lock on GPS <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx41" id="paren.47"><named-content content-type="pre">Global Positioning System;</named-content><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>. As recommended in the Swarm Level 2 (L2) TEC product description (available at <uri>https://earth.esa.int/documents/10174/1514862/Swarm_Level-2_TEC_Product_Description</uri>, last access: 8 June 2020), only vTEC data with corresponding elevation angles <inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> have been taken into account, as these are considered to be more reliable. We have considered vTEC data recorded on 25 and 26 August 2018 by each of the three satellites (A, B and C) of the Swarm constellation and corresponding to each PRN (pseudo-random-noise) satellite in view. No loss of lock has been found, contrary to what happened, for instance, during the well-known and much more intense (i.e. Dst –  Disturbed Storm Time index – minimum value reached of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">230</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT) St Patrick's Day storm that occurred on 17 March 2015 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx41 bib1.bibx21 bib1.bibx70" id="paren.48"/>, where vTEC measurements highlighted many losses of lock (figures not shown). The fact that no loss of lock has been found during the August geomagnetic storm means that the event was weak in terms of space weather effects on navigation systems.</p>
      <p id="d1e2855">This fact is also supported by Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>, where ROTI (rate of change of TEC index; ROTI is calculated as RODI but considering TEC values in place of electron density values, for a defined GPS satellite in view) values from Swarm A are shown for PRN 8 on 26 August 2018 and for PRN 15 on 17 March 2015. It is clear, from this figure, that a loss of lock occurs when ROTI saturates, a feature that rarely happens on 26 August 2018 and more in general during the entire period under analysis.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e2863">ROTI values from Swarm A calculated for PRN 8 on 26 August 2018 and for PRN 17 on 17 March 2015. Losses of lock visible in the figure, highlighted by blue circles, correspond to parts of the trace where ROTI saturates. 1 TECU (total electron content unit)  <inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> el m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Magnetic effects at ground level</title>
      <p id="d1e2906">Space weather predictions and geomagnetic storms intensities are normally measured on the basis of well-known geomagnetic indices. Anyway, as these indices are evaluated using ground observations (typically via magnetometers), it is crucial to improve the knowledge of the effect of each magnetospheric and ionospheric current at ground level. In<?pagebreak page710?> this section, we focused on the ground magnetic response in terms of magnetospheric and ionospheric currents and on the effects that those currents generated on Earth's surface. GICs are one of the main ground effects of space weather events driven by solar activity <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx72 bib1.bibx73 bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx68" id="paren.49"/>. Since GICs represent the end of the space weather chain extending from the Sun to Earth's surface, to complete the description of 25 August 2018 geomagnetic storm, an estimation of the amplitude of geomagnetically induced currents and of the associated risk level, to which power grids have been exposed during this storm, is also presented.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Geomagnetic field response</title>
      <?pagebreak page711?><p id="d1e2919">To analyse the magnetic effects at ground level during the geomagnetic storm, we selected 83 magnetic observatories from the INTERMAGNET magnetometer array network. INTERMAGNET is a consortium of observatories and operating institutes that guarantees a common standard of data released to the scientific community, thus making it possible to compare the measurements carried out at different observation points. The distribution of the selected observatories is reported in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/> and covers the geographic latitudes between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">80</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">80</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, providing a continuous sampling of the geomagnetic field. Although INTERMAGNET provides geomagnetic data with a time resolution down to 1 s, for our purpose a time resolution of 1 min was sufficient.
We have considered the horizontal magnetic field component (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and focused our analysis on a period of 7 d (from 23 to 29 August), during which the storm occurred. The selected period allows us to follow the evolution of the magnetic disturbance recorded at ground level, during the geomagnetic storm. Moreover, we use the model of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx88" id="text.50"/> based on the Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN) to analyse the ionospheric convection during the same period. SuperDARN is an international network of more than 35 high-frequency (HF) radars which has been implemented for the study of the ionosphere and upper atmosphere at sub-auroral, auroral and polar-cap latitudes in both the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10 bib1.bibx58" id="paren.51"/>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e2962">Geographical positions of the selected 83 INTERMAGNET geomagnetic observatories (blue stars). Red and green stars identify European–African and North American chains which are almost longitudinal, respectively, selected for the GIC analysis. The map is in geographic coordinates.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2971">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/> shows the daily distributions of the intensity of the horizontal magnetic field component obtained considering data recorded simultaneously by the selected magnetic observatories during the analysed period. The figure reports on the left, the values of the SYM-H index <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39 bib1.bibx52" id="paren.52"/>, which can be used to monitor the geomagnetic activity and more in detail the ring current intensity during the geomagnetic storm; in the middle, daily polar-view maps of the horizontal field magnitude in the Northern Hemisphere and of the ionospheric convection patterns derived from the model of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx88" id="text.53"/> based on SuperDARN observations; and on the right, the cylindrical projection view of the same magnetic field component. Data are reported in geomagnetic latitude and magnetic local time <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="paren.54"><named-content content-type="pre">MLT,</named-content></xref>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e2990">On the left is the evolution of the SYM-H index. In the middle column, daily polar-view maps of the horizontal field magnitude in the Northern Hemisphere. The convection patterns derived from the SuperDARN-based model of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx88" id="text.55"/> are overplotted on the horizontal field magnitude. In the right column, the worldwide view of the same magnetic field component. Data are reported in geomagnetic latitude and MLT, referring to a period of 7 d from 23 to 29 August 2018.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f09.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?pagebreak page714?><p id="d1e3002">Of particular interest is the analysis of the effects of the ionospheric and magnetospheric currents on the geomagnetic field. For this reason, we have removed the main field from the data and considered only the magnetic fields generated by the electric currents in the ionosphere and magnetosphere (i.e. the so-called magnetic field of external origin). For this purpose, for each ground station, we removed the internal and the crustal origin fields as modelled by CHAOS-6 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="paren.56"/>. Thus, the values of the horizontal field magnitude reported in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/> describe the magnetic field perturbations at ground level due to external sources. The main contributions to this external field, producing relevant signatures in magnetic field observations, are the polar ionospheric currents, such as the auroral electrojets, and the magnetospheric currents, such as the Chapman–Ferraro currents and (in particular) the magnetospheric ring current <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx75 bib1.bibx33" id="paren.57"/>. These current systems are almost always present even during geomagnetic quiet periods but show a significant variability during the disturbed periods <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="paren.58"/>. The maps reported in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/> show the effect due to the eastward and westward auroral electrojets. These two polar current systems, which are the most prominent currents at auroral latitudes, produce at ground level a magnetic field perturbation that is characterized by a positive excursion of the horizontal field magnitude in the case of the eastward electrojet, flowing in the afternoon sector, and a negative one in the case of the westward electrojet, flowing through the morning and midnight sector <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="paren.59"/>. It can be especially seen from the data reported in the polar-view maps (central column in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>). We noticed that these currents are always present but that their intensities increase during the main phase of the geomagnetic storm <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="paren.60"/>. Even their spatial distribution changes. Indeed, the magnetic disturbance, associated with these electric currents, tends to shift towards lower-latitudinal values drastically during the geomagnetic storm. On 26 August the westward electrojet is extremely intense, and around midnight the effect at ground level due to the substorm electrojet current is recognizable, too. The associated disturbance fields cover the geomagnetic latitudes from 50 to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">75</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on the nightside. Looking at the ionospheric convection as derived from the statistical model of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx88" id="text.61"/> and considering that mean daily values of the IMF and solar wind velocity have been used as input to the model, the convection patterns  match the expansion to lower latitudes observed in the magnetic disturbance evolution during the extreme driving conditions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mtext>SW</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4.0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mV m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) that characterize the period under study after the southward rotation of the IMF. In fact, the convection maps computed from the SuperDARN measurements at 2 min resolution (not shown) also show that the auroral convection zone expands equatorward to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> geomagnetic latitude during the geomagnetic storm. The expansion of the convection pattern is related to the dayside reconnection, forming new open field lines once the IMF turned southward in late 25 August.</p>
      <p id="d1e3082">The panels on the right column of Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/> show the effect due to the ring current that is responsible for a decrease of the magnetic field intensity at low and mid latitudes, during the development of the geomagnetic storm. As is known, the intensity of the ring current increases during the main phase of a geomagnetic storm because of the injection of energetic particles from the magnetotail in the equatorial plane, and it gradually decays during the recovery phase.
The time evolution of the ring current, through the time evolution of its associated disturbance field, is clearly visible in our data. During the main phase of the storm (26 August), the increasing of the ring current flowing in the westward direction produces a strong depression of the horizontal field magnitude, as can be seen by the blue region at mid and low latitudes of the map corresponding to 26 August, on the right-side of Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>. In the days following, the main phase the magnetic field perturbation associated with the ring current is still visible at low and mid latitudes, although its amplitude rapidly decreases.
We can conclude that the magnetic field perturbations on the ground due to the arrival of the solar perturbation are clearly recognizable in the recorded data and are well in agreement with what is expected from a theoretical point of view <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.62"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>Ground magnetic effects</title>
      <p id="d1e3102">Fluctuations of the geomagnetic field happening during geomagnetic storms or substorms are responsible for an induced geoelectric field at Earth's surface that, in turn, originates GICs that may represent a hazard for the secure and safe operation of electrical power grids and oil and gas pipelines.
For instance, for the case of power transmissions, GICs represent a hazard due to their frequency. Indeed, the power spectrum of the originating geoelectric field is dominated by frequencies smaller than 1 Hz, and this makes the GIC a quasi-DC current compared to the 50–60 Hz AC power systems, with the consequence of temporarily or permanently damaging power transformers <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx73" id="paren.63"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>.</p>
      <p id="d1e3110">As a proxy of the geoelectric field, and hence of GIC intensity, the GIC index <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="paren.64"/> is calculated using the approach proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx90" id="text.65"/>.
Among the proxies of the geoelectric field resorting to magnetic data only, this index has two main advantages: (1) it represents the geoelectric field better than other commonly used quantities (i.e. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> or other geomagnetic activity indices), and (2) its values are used to determine the risk level to which power networks are exposed during space weather events <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="paren.66"/>.
Since the components of the geomagnetic field relevant for the induction of the geoelectric field are the horizontal ones, i.e. the northward (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and eastward (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) components, the GIC index is calculated for both of them.
In particular, GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> indices are obtained using 1 min of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> components, respectively, as observed at the geomagnetic observatories aligned along two latitudinal chains crossing North America and Europe–Africa. These two sets of observatories satisfy the condition to be characterized by geomagnetic longitudes that are spread over a range of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> around a central longitude. In the case of the North American chain, the central geomagnetic longitude is about 17<inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E, and the observatories used for this chain, indicated by their IAGA (International Association of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy) codes and ordered from high to low geomagnetic latitude, are THL, NAQ, STJ, OTT, SBL, SJG and KOU. The central geomagnetic longitude of the European–African chain is about 105<inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E, and the corresponding observatories, listed as above, are HRN, ABK, LYC, UPS, HLP, NGK, BDV and TAM. Details on the observatories of the two chains can be found in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>.</p>

<table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e3222">Details of the geomagnetic observatories used in the study, from left to right, indicate the name and IAGA code of the observatory, geomagnetic latitude, geomagnetic longitude and MLT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, representing the number of hours to add to 00:00 UT to obtain the MLT location of each observatory.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry namest="col1" nameend="col4" align="center" colsep="1">North American chain </oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry namest="col5" nameend="col8" align="center">European–African chain </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Observatory</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Geomagnetic</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Geomagnetic</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">MLT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Observatory</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Geomagnetic</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Geomagnetic</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">MLT<inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">latitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">longitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(hour)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">latitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">longitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">(hour)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Thule (THL)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">87.11</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">14.74</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.98</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Hornsund (HRN)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">74.08</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">124.94</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">8.33</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Narsarsuaq (NAQ)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">69.36</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">38.68</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2.58</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Abisko (ABK)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">66.19</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">114.26</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">7.62</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">St. John's (STJ)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">56.59</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">24.69</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.65</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Lycksele (LYC)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">62.71</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">110.71</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">7.38</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ottawa (OTT)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">55.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.24</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Uppsala (UPS)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">58.51</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">106.24</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">7.08</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Sable Island (SBL)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">53.33</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">15.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.02</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Hel (HLP)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">53.23</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">104.67</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">6.98</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">San Juan (SJG)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">27.76</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">6.95</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.46</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Niemegk (NGK)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">51.81</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">97.75</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">6.52</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Kourou (KOU)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14.33</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">20.47</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.36</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Budkov (BDV)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">48.72</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">97.79</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">6.52</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Tamanrasset (TAM)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">24.44</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">82.34</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">5.49</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?pagebreak page715?><p id="d1e3614">To have an idea of the maximum GIC intensity produced by the 26 August 2018 geomagnetic storm, we calculated GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> indices for the geomagnetic observatories of the two chains and then picked out the maximum values reached by both GIC indices from 25 August 2018 at 18:00 UT to 26 August 2018 at 18:00 UT (i.e. the most geomagnetically disturbed conditions) and plotted them as a function of geomagnetic latitude in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>.
The two curves displayed in both panels (a) and (b) of Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/> refer to the North American (red) and to the European–African (blue) observatories chains, respectively.
As expected, the latitudinal dependence of the maximum GIC intensity shows an increase with increasing latitude with a steepening of the curve around 60<inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N and then a substantial decrease at the highest latitude, near the geomagnetic pole.
This reflects the geometry and the features of the current systems responsible for time variations of the geomagnetic field originating the induced geoelectric field.
High latitudes are affected by the effects of the auroral electrojets whose intensity undergo dramatic variations, even increasing up to 4–5 times its quiet time value <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx83" id="paren.67"/>.
Low and mid latitudes are mainly affected by the ring current that produces variations of the geomagnetic field that are less effective for GICs building up.
So, the peaks around 65–75<inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, well visible in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>, can be interpreted in terms of the position of the auroral oval and hence of the auroral electrojets flowing.
Moreover, as can be observed by Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>, both the European–African and North American chains provide peaks of the GIC indices at different geomagnetic latitudes.
In detail, the peak along the European–African chain seem to occur at latitudes smaller than that along the North American chain.
Such observations can be explained in terms of the MLT at which the maxima of the GIC indices occur at the observatories of the two chains: around (01:00 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 01:00) MLT for the European–African chain and around (21:00 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 01:00) MLT for the North American chain.
Indeed, as can be deduced by Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>, especially by looking at the worldwide view of the horizontal field magnitude, the maximum variation of the horizontal component of the geomagnetic field recorded on 26 August around 01:00 MLT occurs at latitudes lower than that observed at 21:00 MLT.
The more the auroral oval expands towards lower latitudes, the smaller the latitude where the steepening of the maximum GIC index is.
Since, as already mentioned, the advantage to use the GIC index relates to the availability of an associated risk level scale, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/> also displays coloured dashed lines that indicate the boundaries between adjacent risk levels.
This risk level scale has been introduced and defined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.68"/>, it consists of four risk levels going from “very low” to “extreme”, each associated with defined ranges of the GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> indices.
This scale is based on a large occurrence of faults or failures of worldwide power grids and represents a probabilistic description of the threat, with the risk level providing the probability to have a fault; detailed information about this scale is given in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.69"/>.
Results shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/> tell that, for the analysed geomagnetic storm and for the same latitudes, power networks located along the European–African chain have been exposed to higher risk levels than those located along the North American chain.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e3714">Maximum value of the GIC indices that occurred in the time interval from 25 August 2018 at 18:00 UT to 26 August 2018 at 18:00 UT, as observed at the magnetic observatories of both the North American and European–African latitudinal chains. In detail, <bold>(a)</bold> displays the maximum values of the GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> index, and <bold>(b)</bold> displays the maximum values of the GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> index. Coloured dashed lines indicate the thresholds between the different risk levels as defined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.70"/>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f10.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e3752">Maximum value of the GIC indices that occurred in the time interval from 17 March 2015 at 04:00 UT to 18 March 2015 at 04:00 UT, as observed at the magnetic observatories of both the North American and European–African latitudinal chain. In detail, <bold>(a)</bold> displays the maximum values of the GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> index, and <bold>(b)</bold> displays the maximum values of the GIC<inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> index. Coloured dashed lines indicate the thresholds between the different risk levels as defined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.71"/></p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/38/703/2020/angeo-38-703-2020-f11.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e3787">As in the case of the ionospheric response, we repeated the analysis (same method and observatories), using data recorded during the 2015 St Patrick's Day geomagnetic storm (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>), in order to have a quantitative comparison of the effects of the two storms. There are evident similarities between
Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>, but some interesting differences can be highlighted.
First, although the 2015 St Patrick's Day storm was slightly more intense than the 26 August 2018 geomagnetic storm (minimum values of the SYM-H index of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">234</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">206</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> nT, respectively), its maximum value of the GIC index is lower and occurs mainly on the dayside for both chains of observatories. This difference could be ascribed to the different location of the magnetic cloud impact at the magnetopause: in the morning for the 2018 August storm and on the nose of the magnetopause for the 2015 St Patrick's Day storm.
Second, during the St Patrick's Day storm, the southern boundary of the auroral oval experienced a larger equatorward expansion. This can be deduced by the value<?pagebreak page716?> of the southernmost latitudes exposed to risk levels higher than “moderate”. In the case of the August storm, these are larger than around 60<inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, while during the St Patrick's Day storm, they decreased to around 45–50<inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N.
Last, the maximum values of GIC index at low–mid latitudes are very low for both geomagnetic storms but slightly higher in the case of the St Patrick's Day storm. This suggests a greater participation of other current systems as, for instance, the ring current.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Summary and discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e3845">The solar event that has been associated with the 25 August 2018 geomagnetic storm that occurred on 20 August 2018. The most probable source for the CME is a filament eruption observed at 08:00 at heliographic coordinates <inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Sun</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">16</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Sun</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on the solar surface (Pink post in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>). The filament ejection has been recorded by SDO EUV imagers.</p>
      <?pagebreak page717?><p id="d1e3884">In order to reconstruct the ICME behaviour in interplanetary space and to link the results from remote-sensing and in situ data, we propagate the CME in the heliosphere in the framework of the P-DBM <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="paren.72"/> model under the hypotheses that the ICME propagation is longitudinally deflected by its interaction with the solar wind and the ICME is later overtaken by a fast solar wind stream from the identified coronal hole at a distance <inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mtext>mix</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is evaluated considering the concurring contribution of both the time for the CH to rotate in the appropriate direction and the time for the stream to catch up with the ICME. The results are an ICME arrival time and velocity at 1 au of 25 August 2018 at 16:00 UT (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> h) and (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">440</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">70</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) km s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The failure to observe an IP shock ahead the CME can be due to a large inclination of the normal of the magnetic cloud structure (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>). Such a peculiarity, associated with the fact that the CME was slow and weak, made it very hard for L1 SW satellites to detect a true IP shock <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx61" id="paren.73"/>. This scenario is confirmed by the solar wind observations at L1. In fact, the ACE, WIND and DSCOVR satellites detected the ICME arrival on 25 August 2018 at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:15 UT.
As a consequence of the magnetic cloud arrival, the magnetospheric field lines configuration reveal a large magnetopause erosion from 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>E</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 7.1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>E</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as both predicted by the TS04 model and observed by the GOES 14 and GOES 15 satellites, caused by the gradual depletion of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>IMF</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. In addition, the magnetosphere is stretched and twisted as a consequence of the action of the magnetopause and the ring current alone between 25 August 2018 at 13:55 UT and 26 August 2018 at 08:15 UT (corresponding to the main phase of the geomagnetic storm, at ground level) and of the concurring contribution of both the ring and the tail currents between 26 August 2018 at 08:15 UT and 31 August 2018 (corresponding to the recovery phase of the geomagnetic storm, at ground level). This scenario is confirmed by the simulation of a modified TS04 model set with the previous magnetospheric current assumptions, which well represents the behaviour of the observations at geosynchronous orbit (red dashed lines in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>). A similar situation is obtained at LEO orbit on the CSES satellite (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>), where the magnetospheric-origin field variations (low-frequency contributions) are induced by the action of both the symmetric part of the ring current and tail current along <inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and of the asymmetric part of the ring current along <inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">LF</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.74"/>, as confirmed by the TS04<inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> model previsions. Differently from GOES observations, CSES shows also variations at higher frequencies (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.025</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mHz <inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>  <inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mHz), which are both the ionospheric-current-system and the magnetospheric–ionospheric-coupling-origin contributions. Our interpretation of the huge positive and then negative variations observed during the main phase along both the horizontal components is due to the loading–unloading process between the magnetosphere and the ionosphere <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx66" id="paren.75"/>. On the other hand, the variations observed during the recovery phase are due to the ionospheric DP-2 current system <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx95 bib1.bibx65 bib1.bibx66" id="paren.76"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e4081">At ground level, during the main phase, the disturbance fields observed at latitudes between 50 and 75<inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, on the night side, are due to the intensification of the westward auroral electrojet. In addition, on 26 August 2018, the pattern of the auroral electrojets are consistent with an ICME impacting on the morning side of the magnetosphere. In fact, as expected <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx98 bib1.bibx65 bib1.bibx71" id="paren.77"/>, the greater disturbance for both the westward and eastward electrojets are located around 07:00 LT (central panels of Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>). In addition, it is interesting to note that the large values of the westward electrojet could be due to the concurring contributions of the magnetic cloud and CIR that increase the unloading process from the tail to polar region <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15" id="paren.78"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>.
On the same day, the injection of energetic particles from the magnetotail in the equatorial plane increased the ring current, generating at lower latitudes a strong depression of the horizontal field magnitude on Earth's surface (right panels in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>). During the recovery phase, we observed a return of the horizontal component of the geomagnetic field to pre-storm values due to the decrease the ring current amplitude <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.79"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e4109">From an ionospheric point of view, to figure out whether the significant increase of electron density irregularities recorded in terms of RODI, especially during the main phase, affected navigation systems, we estimated the loss of lock from vTEC Swarm data. No loss of lock has been found, which means that the event was weak in terms of space weather effects on navigation systems. This fact is supported by Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>, showing that loss of lock occurs mainly for really high values of ROTI, values which were never recorded during the period under analysis.</p>
      <p id="d1e4115">The amplitude of the geomagnetically induced currents index <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50 bib1.bibx90" id="paren.80"/>, evaluated during the August 2018 geomagnetic storm, reached very high values above 60<inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N of geomagnetic latitude. A direct comparison to St Patrick's Day event showed that despite the different storm intensities, the GIC hazard was extreme during the August 2018 event, while only high in the March 2015 event. On the other hand, both storms present very low values of the GIC index at low–mid latitudes, suggesting a greater participation of the ring current system. In any case, it is possible to observe the different impact of this storm at two different MLTs that is in good agreement with the reconstruction of the geomagnetic disturbance as recorded on the ground (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>6</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e4140">The solar event that occurred on 20 August 2018 has been capable of increasing the intensity of the various electric current systems flowing in the magnetosphere and ionosphere and activating a chain of processes which cover a wide range of time and spatial scales and, at the same time, of activating strong interactions between various regions within the solar–terrestrial system. The geomagnetic storm and the magnetospheric substorms that occurred in the days following the solar event are the typical signatures of this chain of processes. The long-lasting reconnection at the dayside magnetopause led to an increase of magnetospheric circulation and to an injection of particles into the inner magnetosphere and more generally provided free energy which was stored in the magnetosphere and led to a worldwide magnetic disturbance. The development of such a disturbance has led to an increase of currents in the ionosphere accompanied by the auroral activity and by a shift equatorward of the auroral electrojets and to the growth of the ring current (i.e. the westward toroidal electric current flowing around Earth on the equatorial plane)<?pagebreak page718?> accompanied by a worldwide reduction of the horizontal components of the geomagnetic field at low and mid latitudes. Rapid geomagnetic variations induced geoelectric fields on the conducting ground responsible for GICs whose intensity, as expected, varied with geomagnetic latitude <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx89" id="paren.81"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>.
The amplitude of these currents, quantified by means of the GIC index, has reached values corresponding to “high” and “extreme” risk levels above 60<inline-formula><mml:math id="M223" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N of geomagnetic latitude. However, no failures or malfunctioning are reported in the literature.
A higher sampling of the different geomagnetic latitudes would have been allowed to more precisely depict GIC variations with latitude.</p>
      <p id="d1e4157">This storm is one of the few strong geomagnetic storms (G3 class; <uri>https://spaceweather.com/</uri>, last access: 3 June 2020) that occurred during the current, 24th solar cycle and represents one of those cases which have clearly shown how unpredictable space weather is and how much work is needed to make reliable predictions of the effects that solar events could have on the terrestrial environment. Indeed, the CME emitted by the Sun in the days before the occurrence of the geomagnetic storm showed no features that would suggest the occurrence of important effects in the circumterrestrial environment or at ground level. Indeed, as numerous studied have shown, the magnitude and features of geomagnetic storms depend not only on solar wind plasma parameters and on the values of the IMF but also on their evolution <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.82"><named-content content-type="post">and references therein</named-content></xref>. Failing to predict the intensity of the 26 August 2018 storm has meant not being able to correctly estimate its effects on anthropic systems such as satellites, telecommunications, power transmission lines and the safety of airline passengers. This confirms that, despite considerable advances in understanding the drivers of space weather events, there is still room for improvement for their forecasting. It is important to underline that the future capabilities of forecasting if, where and when an event occurs and how intense it will be will depend on our understanding of the physical processes behind the dynamics in near-Earth space <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx80 bib1.bibx72 bib1.bibx68" id="paren.83"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e4171">As a closing remark, we stress that, from a space weather point of view, this kind of comprehensive analysis plays a key role in better understanding the complexity of the processes occurring in the Sun–Earth system that determines the geoeffectiveness of solar activity manifestations.</p><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</sec>

      
      </body>
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<?pagebreak page719?><app id="App1.Ch1.S1">
  <?xmltex \currentcnt{A}?><label>Appendix A</label><title>RODI calculation</title>
      <p id="d1e4186">To define RODI, it is necessary to calculate the rate of change of the electron density (ROD), defined as
          <disp-formula id="App1.Ch1.S1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>A1</label><mml:math id="M224" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M225" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M226" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the electron density measured by the Langmuir probe on board the CSES satellite at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="M227" display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M228" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively; <inline-formula><mml:math id="M229" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s, since the CSES Langmuir probe sampling rate is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M230" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz. Electron density values are provided in the form of continuous time series as a function of time; however, missing measurements is a possibility and an issue that has to be taken into account from a computational point of view. Consequently, time and electron density measured values are indexed through an index <inline-formula><mml:math id="M231" display="inline"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> running on the whole time series. With this approach, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M232" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">th</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ROD value is calculated as
          <disp-formula id="App1.Ch1.S1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>A2</label><mml:math id="M233" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M234" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the electron density measured at a specific time <inline-formula><mml:math id="M235" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M236" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the electron density measured at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="M237" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, only when the condition (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M238" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> - <inline-formula><mml:math id="M239" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) = <inline-formula><mml:math id="M240" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s is satisfied, i.e. for time-consecutive measurements (according to the Langmuir probe sampling rate).
RODI is the standard deviation of ROD values in a running window of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M241" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Specifically, to calculate RODI, only ROD values calculated between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M242" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M243" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are taken into account. Then, RODI at each definite time <inline-formula><mml:math id="M244" display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is
          <disp-formula id="App1.Ch1.S1.E3" content-type="numbered"><label>A3</label><mml:math id="M245" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close="|" open="|"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        where ROD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M246" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are ROD values falling inside the window centred at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="M247" display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M248" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> = 30 s wide. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M249" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the number of ROD values in the window, while <inline-formula><mml:math id="M250" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the corresponding mean, that is
          <disp-formula id="App1.Ch1.S1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>A4</label><mml:math id="M251" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\noindent}?>From a computational point of view, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M252" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">th</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> RODI value is calculated as
          <disp-formula id="App1.Ch1.S1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>A5</label><mml:math id="M253" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">RODI</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close="|" open="|"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        where ROD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M254" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are ROD values falling inside the window of width <inline-formula><mml:math id="M255" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M256" display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> = 5, centred at index <inline-formula><mml:math id="M257" display="inline"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. To take into account possible missing measurements in the time series, only ROD values satisfying the condition <inline-formula><mml:math id="M258" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> – <inline-formula><mml:math id="M259" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">15</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s are considered. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M260" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the number of ROD values (at most 11) falling in the window, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M261" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the corresponding mean of these <inline-formula><mml:math id="M262" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values, that is
          <disp-formula id="App1.Ch1.S1.E6" content-type="numbered"><label>A6</label><mml:math id="M263" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ROD</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d1e5061">Finally, RODI is calculated only when at least six ROD values fall in the window (the half plus one of maximum values inside a window, with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M264" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M265" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s). In this way, windows which are poorly populated and consequently not statistically reliable, are discarded.</p><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</app>
  </app-group><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e5097">All the data are publicly available at the following websites:
SDO data at <uri>https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/aiahmi/</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="paren.84"/>,
SOHO data at <uri>https://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/data.html</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx84" id="paren.85"/>,
DSCOVR data at <uri>https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/dscovr</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx60" id="paren.86"/>,
INTERMAGNET data at <uri>https://www.intermagnet.org/</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="paren.87"/>,
CSES satellite data at <uri>http://www.leos.ac.cn</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.88"/>,
OMNI data at <uri>https://cdaweb.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/index.html/</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx56" id="paren.89"/>,
GOES data at <uri>https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="paren.90"/> and
Swarm data at <uri>https://earth.esa.int/</uri> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx87" id="paren.91"/>.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e5153">MP managed the paper, analysed the magnetic field data from both satellite and ground observations, and concurred with the discussion of the results. PDM analysed the geomagnetic data and concurred with the discussion of the results. RT performed the GIC analysis and concurred with the discussion of the results. DDM analysed solar data and ran the simulation of the ICME propagation. MP and AP analysed the ionospheric plasma data and evaluated both ROTI and RODI. GC and VQ analysed the magnetospheric field data and concurred with the discussion of the results. SDM analysed the solar wind data. PD validated and processed the CSES data. ML performed the interplanetary analysis. MFM performed the magnetospheric analysis. All authors approved the final version of the paper.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e5159">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sistatement"><title>Special issue statement</title>

      <p id="d1e5165">This article is part of the special issue “Satellite observations for space weather and geo-hazard”. It is a result of the EGU General Assembly 2019, Vienna, Austria, 7–12 April 2019.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e5171">The authors wish to thank both reviewers for their help in evaluating the paper. The results presented in this paper rely on data collected at magnetic observatories. SDO data are supplied courtesy of the NASA SDO AIA and HMI science teams. SOHO data are supplied courtesy of the SOHO MDI and SOHO EIT consortia. SOHO is a project of international cooperation between ESA and NASA. This research has made use of data provided by the Heliophysics Event Knowledgebase. DSCOVR data were obtained from the NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) data centre. We thank the national institutes that support them and INTERMAGNET for promoting high standards of magnetic observatory practice (<uri>https://www.intermagnet.org/</uri>, last access: 3 June 2020). This work made use of the data from the CSES mission (<uri>http://www.leos.ac.cn/</uri>, last access: 3 June 2020), a project funded by the China National Space Administration and China Earthquake Administration in collaboration with the Italian Space Agency and Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare. The authors kindly acknowledge Natalia Papitashvili and Joe King at the National Space Science Data Center of the Goddard Space Flight Center for permission to use the 1 min OMNI data and the NASA CDAWeb team for making these data available. We acknowledge the use of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center for obtaining GOES magnetometer data. The European Space Agency (ESA) is acknowledged for providing the Swarm data. The official Swarm website is <uri>http://earth.esa.int/swarm</uri> (last access: 3 June 2020). Mirko Piersanti thanks the Italian Space Agency for financial support (contract ASI “LIMADOU scienza” no. 2016-16-H0). This research work is supported by the Italian MIUR-PRIN for the project “Circumterrestrial Environment: Impact of Sun–Earth Interaction”.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e5185">This research has been supported by the Italian Space Agency (contract ASI “LIMADOU scienza” no. 2016-16-H0).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e5192">This paper was edited by Georgios Balasis and reviewed by two anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>From the Sun to Earth: effects of the 25 August 2018 geomagnetic storm</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>On 25 August 2018 the interplanetary counterpart of the 20 August 2018 coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth, giving rise to a strong G3 geomagnetic storm. We present a description of the whole sequence of events from the Sun to the ground as well as a detailed analysis of the observed effects on Earth's environment by using a multi-instrumental approach.
We studied the ICME (interplanetary-CME) propagation in interplanetary space up to the analysis of its effects in the magnetosphere, ionosphere and at ground level. To accomplish this task, we used ground- and space-collected data, including data from CSES (China Seismo-Electric Satellite), launched on 11 February 2018. We found a direct connection between the ICME impact point on the magnetopause and the pattern of Earth's auroral electrojets. Using the Tsyganenko TS04 model prevision, we were able to correctly identify the principal magnetospheric current system activating during the different phases of the geomagnetic storm. Moreover, we analysed the space weather effects associated with the 25 August 2018 solar event in terms of the evaluation of geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) and identification of possible GPS (Global Positioning System) losses of lock. We found that, despite the strong geomagnetic storm, no loss of lock had been detected. On the contrary, the GIC hazard was found to be potentially more dangerous than other past, more powerful solar events, such as the 2015 St Patrick's Day geomagnetic storm, especially at latitudes higher than 60° in the European sector.</p></abstract-html>
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