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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0">
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ANGEO</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Annales Geophysicae</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ANGEO</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Ann. Geophys.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1432-0576</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/angeo-37-417-2019</article-id><title-group><article-title>Characteristics of the layered polar mesosphere summer echoes occurrence ratio
observed by EISCAT VHF 224 MHz radar</article-title><alt-title>Characteristics of the layered PMSE OR</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Characteristics of the layered PMSE OR}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{S. Ge et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Ge</surname><given-names>Shucan</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Li</surname><given-names>Hailong</given-names></name>
          <email>hailong703@163.com</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Xu</surname><given-names>Tong</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Zhu</surname><given-names>Mengyan</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Wang</surname><given-names>Maoyan</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6018-9341</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Meng</surname><given-names>Lin</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Ullah</surname><given-names>Safi</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Rauf</surname><given-names>Abdur</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>School of Electronic Science and Engineering, University of Electronic
Science and Technology of China,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> 610054, Chengdu, China</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>National Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Environment, China Research
Institute of Radiowave Propagation,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> 266107, Qingdao, China</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Hailong Li (hailong703@163.com)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>13</day><month>June</month><year>2019</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>37</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>417</fpage><lpage>427</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>22</day><month>January</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>28</day><month>January</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>27</day><month>May</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>29</day><month>May</month><year>2019</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2019 </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2019</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e154">Polar mesosphere summer echoes (PMSEs) are strong radar echoes
observed in the polar mesopause during the local summer. Observations of layered
PMSEs carried out by the European Incoherent Scatter Scientific Association
very-high-frequency (EISCAT VHF) radar during 2004–2015 in the latest solar
cycle are used to study the variations of the PMSE occurrence ratio (OR).
Different seasonal behavior of PMSEs is found by analyzing the seasonal
variation of PMSE mono-, double-, and tri-layer OR. A method was used to
calculate the PMSE mono, double-, and tri-layer OR under a different electron
density threshold. In addition, a method to analyze the correlation of
the layered PMSE OR with the solar 10.7 cm flux index (F10.7) and geomagnetic K
index is proposed. Based on it, the correlation of the layered PMSE OR with
solar and geomagnetic activities is not expected to be affected by
discontinuous PMSEs. It is found that PMSE mono-, double-, and tri-layer ORs are
positively correlated with the K index. The correlation of the PMSE mono- and
double-layer OR with F10.7 is weak, whereas the PMSE tri-layer OR shows
a negative correlation with F10.7.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e166">The ionosphere is an important part of the near-Earth space environment, and
the mesosphere is the coldest region in the Earth's atmosphere. Polar
mesosphere summer echoes (PMSEs) are strong echoes detected by radars from
medium-frequency (MF) to ultra-high-frequency (UHF) bands in the polar summer
mesopause, and PMSEs have been considered to be possible indicators of global
climate change (Thomas and Olivero, 2001). The observation range is from 75
to 100 km, where the strongest echo occurs at the altitude of about 86 km on
average (Czechowsky et al., 1979). Radar waves in the very-high-frequency
(VHF) band are backscattered due to the irregularities of electron density
with spatial scales of about half the wavelength of the radar. This has been
confirmed by Blix et al. (2003) from simultaneous rocket and radar
observations. The most extensively accepted theory is that the
irregularities of electron density are sustained due to the reduction in
electron diffusion characterized by the slowest ambipolar diffusion mode
associated with the charged ice grains (Cho et al., 1992). Varney et al. (2011) scrutinized one particular aspect of the turbulent theory of PMSEs:
the electron density dependence of the echo strength. One remarkable feature
of all PMSEs is the fact that the radar echoes often occur in the form of two
or more distinct layers which can persist for periods of up to several hours.
Until now, the layering mechanism leading to these multiple structures has
only been poorly understood in spite of some previous attempts involving gravity
waves, the general thermal structure, and Kelvin–Helmholtz instabilities
(Röttger, 1994; Klostermeyer, 1997; Hill et al., 1999; Hoffmann,
2005).</p>
      <p id="d1e169">Palmer et al. (1996) statistically analyzed the PMSEs in the Northern Hemisphere
observed by the EISCAT VHF radar during 1988–1993. They suggested that (1) PMSEs are summer phenomena, lasting from June to August; (2) PMSEs occur
mostly around noon and midnight, following a semidiurnal pattern; and (3) the
echoing structures move bodily, perhaps in response to gravity waves. Based
on<?pagebreak page418?> measurements at Andenes, Norway, observed by the 53.5 MHz ALOMAR SOUSY
radar during 1994–1997 and the ALWIN radar during 1999–2001, Bremer et al. (2003) found that the variation of PMSEs is markedly controlled by solar
cycle variations and precipitating high energetic particle fluxes. Bremer et
al. (2006) discussed how the strength of PMSEs depends on the level of
ionization because of the long-term changes in mesospheric summer echoes
caused by the incident solar wave radiation and precipitating high energetic
particle fluxes from about 20 May to the end of August during 1998–2006.
Smirnova et al. (2010) used the ESRAD MST (Esrange Mesosphere–Stratosphere–Troposphere) radar's measurements and found
that the inter-annual variations of the PMSE OR (occurrence ratio) and length of
the season anticorrelated with solar activity (F10.7 index, the daily
solar activity proxy) but not significantly, and that the PMSE OR correlates with
geomagnetic activity (AP index). However, no statistically significant
trends in PMSE yearly strengths were found in their work. Smirnova et al. (2011) concentrated on the accurate calculation of PMSE absolute
strength as expressed by radar volume reflectivity and found that the
inter-annual variations of PMSE volume reflectivity strongly correlate with
the local geomagnetic K index and anticorrelate with solar 10.7 cm flux.
However, they did not find any statistically significant trend in PMSE
volume reflectivity during 1997–2009. Li and Rapp (2011) reported
that the PMSE OR at 224 MHz shows a positive correlation with both the solar and
geomagnetic activities. PMSEs have been detected and widely studied based on
long-term observations of many different MST radars (Reid et al., 1989;
Thomas et al., 1992; Smirnova et al., 2011). Since the first
observation of PMSEs in 1979, it has been well known that the PMSE observations are
different when observed by different-frequency radar even at the same sites,
and PMSEs often show obvious layered events.</p>
      <p id="d1e172">Many studies have widely reported that there is a significant correlation
between the ionization level and PMSEs observed by 53.5 MHz radar (Inhester
et al., 1990; Belova et al., 2007; Latteck et al., 2008). The correlation of
the ionization level with PMSEs at 224 MHz is as significant as that of the
correlation of the ionization level with PMSEs at 53.5 MHz; previous
studies provide the research basis and ideas for the PMSE study detected by
224 MHz radar. There are still a few significant problems that must be solved
with the characteristics of the layered PMSE OR. Hence, it is necessary to
analyze the layered PMSE OR and study layered PMSE characteristics deeply
with data measured by 224 MHz EISCAT VHF radar under different observation
conditions. The statistical results of the layered PMSE OR with the same radar
at the same site over the period 2004–2015 are given in this paper, which
was based on the experimental data detected by 224 MHz EISCAT VHF radar. In
addition, the correlation of the PMSE OR with the geomagnetic K index and F10.7
is analyzed and discussed. The method of the correlation analysis between
the layered PMSE OR and solar activity and between the layered PMSE OR and
geomagnetic activity is given in this paper without being affected by the
defect of discontinuous PMSE measurements of EISCAT radar. It is helpful for
describing the characterization of the layered PMSE OR. The aim of the
current work is to provide a definitive data foundation for further analysis
of layered PMSEs, and we try to identify important open issues for future
investigations.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Radar and experimental data description</title>
      <p id="d1e183">The PMSE observations used here were obtained with 224 MHz EISCAT VHF radar
from 2004 to 2015. The EISCAT VHF radar is located at Tromsø, Norway
(69.35<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 19.14<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E), using a parabolic cylindrical
120 m <inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 40 m antenna. It is a powerful tool to study the lower
ionosphere. Detailed descriptions of the radar can be found in Baron (1986).
The measurements by EISCAT radar are very well suited for investigating the
characteristics of PMSEs (for previous work, see, e.g., Li et al., 2010, and
references therein). It has frequency and phase modulation capability with
a pulse length of 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>s to 2 ms. The parameters are shown in Table 1 for accuracy control of EISCAT VHF radar.</p>
      <p id="d1e219">EISCAT VHF radar ran several standard experimental modes: manda, beata,
bella, tau7, arcd (arc_dlayer), and tau1. The main
differences between these experimental modes are illustrated in Table 2. The
manda and arcd modes are mainly used for low-altitude detection and provide
spectral measurements at mesospheric altitude. Therefore, the accurate data
used in this study are mainly provided by manda and arcd modes.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e225">Parameters of the radars.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="2">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Radar</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EISCAT VHF</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Location</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">69.59<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N 19.23<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Operating frequency</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">224 MHz</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Transmitter peak power</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.5 MW</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Antenna 3 dB beam width</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.7<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> NS <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.2<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> EW</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Antenna effective area</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">5690 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Pulse length (altitude resolution)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">300 m</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Pulse repetition frequency</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">741 Hz</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">No. of bits in code</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">64</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">No. of code permutations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">128</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">No. of coherent integrations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Lag resolution</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.35 ms</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Maximum lag</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.17 s</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Table 2</label><caption><p id="d1e417">EISCAT VHF radar standard experiments.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Name</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Code length</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Baud length</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Sampling rate</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Range span</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Time resolution</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Plasma line</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Raw data</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(bit)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>s)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>s)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(km)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">(s)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">manda</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">61</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">19–209</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Yes</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">arc_dlayer</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">64</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">60–139</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">5.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">beata</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">32</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">52–663</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">5.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Yes</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">bella</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">30</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">63–1344</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Yes</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">tau7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">16</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">96</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">12</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">50–2001</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">5.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">tau1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">16</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">72</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">24</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">104–2061</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">5.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Data analysis</title>
      <p id="d1e694">In this study, we use the EISCAT VHF radar data from 2004 to 2015. The
GUISDAP software package (Grand Unified Incoherent Scatter Design and
Analysis Program) (see<?pagebreak page419?> Lehtinen and Huuskonen, 1996, and visit <uri>http://www.eiscat.se</uri>, last access:  27 May 2019,
for details) was used to analyze the radar data. The electron density
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> analyzed by the GUISDAP software was obtained between 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and
10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The level of electron density represents the intensity
of echoes.</p>
      <p id="d1e741">First of all, the heating parts were removed from the data set to avoid the
heating effect. After that, the presence of PMSEs was defined as the
threshold of electron density (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). We have used the PMSE threshold given by Hocking and Röttger (1997) and Appendix A Table A2 of Li and Rapp (2011). In addition, some abnormal
echoes are related to meteors. It is not considered to be a PMSE and is
neglected in later discussion. PMSEs are not continuous in time. If the
electron density satisfies the threshold (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), we considered it to be a PMSE event. We have considered
only those events whose PMSEs are continuous for time (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> min).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Method and results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Layered PMSE events</title>
      <p id="d1e839">PMSEs occur in thin layers with an average thickness of up to 3–4 km of the
monolayer, and the mean altitude distribution of PMSE events is 80–90 km. It
is considered to be the area of independent anomalous echoes. Figure 1a,
b, and c show the typical events of PMSE monolayer, double-layer, and
tri-layer, respectively. As mentioned in the introduction, a notable feature
of PMSEs observed by radar is that the radar echoes typically occur in the
form of two or more layers. However, the systematic theories of the layering
mechanism led to these multiple structures not coming into being. Here we
will study the occurrence of these layered PMSE events and their
relationships with solar and geomagnetic activity. This content will be
discussed in detail later in the paper.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e844">The typical layered PMSE events observed by EISCAT 224 MHz VHF radar.
<bold>(a)</bold> Monolayer PMSE. <bold>(b)</bold> Double-layer PMSE. <bold>(c)</bold> Tri-layer PMSE.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>Layered PMSE OR calculation method</title>
      <?pagebreak page420?><p id="d1e870">The calculation method is based on individual horizontal profiles. When the
electron density satisfies the PMSE threshold (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), then that time was taken as the starting time of the
PMSE occurrence and until the time when the electron density fails to
satisfy the threshold was taken as the end time of PMSE occurrence. The time
of PMSE duration is the time difference between the end and starting
times of the PMSE occurrence. The time interval cannot be regarded as a PMSE
occurrence time if the time interval between them is shorter than 1 min
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> min). Taking the calculation method of the monolayer PMSE OR as an
example: we defined the ratio between the sustained time of monolayer PMSEs
and the total observation time as the monolayer PMSE OR. The applied
procedure for the detection of multiple PMSE layers is based on individual
vertical profiles with a high temporal resolution (Hoffmann, 2005). The
layer ranges are identified by an electron density threshold of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>).
Once a vertical profile of the electron density has two peaks and these two
peaks are higher than the threshold (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), we select it as a double layer. The PMSE double-layer OR
is the ratio between the sustained time of the PMSE double layer and the total
observation time. The tri-layer OR is also calculated in the same way.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>The variations of layered PMSE occurrence ratios</title>
      <p id="d1e1023">The layered PMSE OR, layered PMSE occurrence time (OT), and total observing
time detected by EISCAT VHF radar from 2004 to 2015 are illustrated in Table 3. PMSE monolayer, double-layer, tri-layer, and total OR are also presented in Table 3.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Table 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1029">Statistical data from 2004 to 2015.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Year</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Total</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Monolayer</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Double-</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Tri-layer</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Monolayer</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Double-layer</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Tri-layer</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Total</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">observing</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">PMSE OT</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">layer</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">PMSE OT</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">OR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">OR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">OR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">OR</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">time (min)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(min)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">PMSE OT (min)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(min)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">(%)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">(%)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">(%)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">(%)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2004</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">16 054</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4701</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2774</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">151</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">29.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">17.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.94</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">47.50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2005</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">8165</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3564</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1491</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">182</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">43.65</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">18.26</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">2.23</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">64.14</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2006</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">9248</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2950</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">910</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">93</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">31.78</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">9.84</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.01</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">42.63</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2007</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">9341</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3027</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">804</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">32.41</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">8.61</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.00</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">41.02</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2008</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3310</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">763</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">97</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">23.06</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">2.92</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.00</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">25.98</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2009</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2264</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">424</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">76</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">18.72</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">3.34</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">22.41</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2010</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">6303</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1799</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">498</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">53</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">28.54</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">7.90</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.84</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">37.28</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2011</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">9638</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3624</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2692</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">202</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">37.60</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">27.93</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">2.10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">67.63</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2012</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">7497</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3550</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1554</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">207</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">47.35</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">20.73</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">2.76</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">70.84</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2013</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">14 037</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">6906</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3873</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">532</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">49.20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">27.59</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">3.79</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">80.59</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2014</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2971</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">998</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">731</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">64</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">33.60</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">24.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">2.15</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">60.35</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">2015</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4776</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2019</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1022</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">22</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">42.28</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">21.40</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.46</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">64.14</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1530">Annual mean layered PMSE occurrence ratio. The OR of the total (red dot
line). The OR of the monolayer (black solid line). The OR of the double layer (blue
dashed line). The OR of the tri-layer (pink dot–dashed line).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1540">Figure 2 shows that the annual mean mono-, double-, and tri-layer ORs agree with
the total PMSE OR. We calculated the correlation of the annual mean
monolayer with the double-layer OR, tri-layer OR, and total OR using the Spearman
rank correlation coefficients (it will be particularly described in Sect. 4.3.2). The correlation coefficients (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) of the monolayer with double-layer
OR, tri-layer OR, and total OR are 0.7922, 0.7718, and 0.9480, respectively.
All the correlation coefficients are statistically significant with
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. These high values of correlation coefficients show that the
correlation of annual mean monolayers with an annual mean double-layer OR,
tri-layer OR, and total OR is very high. In addition, the annual mean
layered PMSE OR from 2008 to 2010 is relatively low, and the solar activity
is relatively “quiet” in these years.</p>
      <p id="d1e1566">Figure 2 shows two significant phenomena. (1) The variation trends of the annual
mean mono-, double-, and tri-layer PMSE ORs have rules to follow: i.e., the OR
of the monolayer is the highest, the double layer lies in the middle, and the
tri-layer is the lowest. (2) The annual mean layered PMSE and total OR
values show a similar shape of the sinusoidal, which has an obvious wave peak
and wave valley. One wave peak lies in 2005, and the other lies in 2013. The
values of two wave peaks are different and the values in 2005 are smaller
than that in 2013. The values of the wave valley lie in 2008–2009. Here we
only give the results of the data analysis and no longer do the cause analysis,
because the stratification of PMSEs is affected by many factors and has not
been decided yet. The analyzing method and results given in this paper have
a significant reference value for studying the PMSE phenomenon.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <label>4.4</label><title>Seasonal behavior</title>
      <p id="d1e1577">The mean seasonal variations of the layered PMSE OR and PMSE total OR
observed by EISCAT VHF radar during 2004–2015 are shown in Figs. 3 and 4,
respectively. Figure 3 illustrates the mean seasonal variation of the mono-
(blue bars), double- (yellow bars), and tri-layer (red bars) PMSE OR and quartic
polynomial fitting for the monolayer PMSE OR (black dot curve) during
2004–2015. Figure 4 shows the mean seasonal variation of the total PMSE OR (blue
bars) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">π</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> harmonic fitting for the total PMSE OR (black dot curve)
during 2004–2015. It is clear from Figs. 3 and 4 that the monolayer PMSE
in Tromsø, Norway, often begins in late May, reaches its maximum in
early June or mid-June, keeps this level until the end of July or beginning
of August, and gradually decreases or vanishes when it is close to the end
of August or the beginning of September in general, which is in agreement
with Smirnova et al. (2011). The double-layer PMSE also begins in late May,
but its maximum value appears in mid-July. In addition, it keeps the larger
value in June and July, and it simply fades away in early August. The
tri-layer PMSE appears a lot less in comparison with mono- and double-layer
PMSEs. In terms of time, it appears later and disappears earlier.
Furthermore, the tri-layer PMSE OR is large at the end of June and early
July, which is different from the monolayer and double-layer PMSE ORs.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1594">Mean seasonal variation of the mono- (in blue), double- (in yellow),
and tri-layer (in red) PMSE occurrence ratio from 2004 to 2015.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e1605">Mean seasonal variation of the total PMSE occurrence ratio.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1615">According to the statistical results, the monolayer, double-layer, and tri-layer
PMSE ORs have seasonal variation. Moreover, there is fluctuation in the
trends of F10.7 and the geomagnetic K index. Therefore, it is necessary to
investigate the correlation of solar and geomagnetic activity with a differently
layered PMSE OR during 2004–2015, and we should try to explain the
occurrence mechanism of PMSEs. It is well known that other missions apart
from PMSE regular observations are performed by EISCAT VHF radar, so<?pagebreak page421?> EISCAT
radar does not provide continuous PMSE observations. We raise an important
question: Table 3 indicates a difference in total observation time for the
individual years. How has this been taken into account for the determination
of occurrence ratios? To solve this problem, we use another method to
recalculate the layered PMSE OR. Then, the correlations between the layered
PMSE OR and the F10.7 and between the layered PMSE OR and the K index are
studied. As mentioned in the calculation method section, we only select the
days when PMSEs are present, and calculate the layered ORs of PMSEs.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e1628">The layered PMSE OR was calculated and the relations among PMSE mono-,
double-, and tri-layer ORs were analyzed statistically. At the same time, the
mean seasonal variations of the layered PMSE OR and PMSE total OR have been
presented. Hoffmann (2005) shows that the layering occurs because of
subsequent nucleation cycles of ice particles in the uppermost (and coldest)
gravity-wave-induced temperature minimum (see Hoffmann, 2005, Fig. 3a).
Subsequently, these newly created ice particles grow and sediment down and
lead to the distinct layering. In addition, Rapp and Lübken (2004) found
that charged ice particles and atmospheric turbulence play major roles in
the change in the electron number density that leads to PMSEs in the
mesopause region. We know that solar and geomagnetic activities have a certain
degree of influence on the occurrence of PMSEs; however, the effects of solar
and geomagnetic activities on layered PMSEs are not understood well.
Therefore, it is necessary to study the effects of solar and geomagnetic
activities on layered PMSEs. The occurrence ratio obtained by the ratio of
the occurrence time of PMSEs to the total observation time is the calculation
method in the traditional sense. It is easy to understand and accurately
analyze the short-term variations, such as diurnal variation and seasonal
variation of PMSEs. However, the long-term trend is subject to error and
dispute by this calculation method. Furthermore, it is difficult to discuss
and analyze the correlation of the layered PMSE OR with solar and geomagnetic
activities. Therefore, we have presented a new calculation method for
calculating the layered PMSE occurrence ratio, which is different from the
method given in Sect. 4.2, so that the layered PMSE OR is relatively
accurate. The correlation of PMSEs with solar and geomagnetic activities is
not expected to be affected by discontinuous PMSEs. The study of relations
between PMSEs and solar activities and between PMSEs and geomagnetic
activities is significant.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1">
  <label>5.1</label><title>Another method for layered PMSE OR calculation</title>
      <p id="d1e1638">The emphasis of this section is to present a hybrid algorithm based on grid
partitioning. The calculation method is based on altitude. A large number of
literatures and experimental observations have shown that the altitude range
of PMSEs is 80–90 km (Li and Rapp, 2011; Smirnova et al., 2010; Latteck and
Bremer, 2013). Hoffmann (2005) shows a mean height of 84.8 km for monolayer
PMSEs. In the<?pagebreak page422?> case of multiple-layer PMSEs, the lower layer occurs at a mean
height of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">83.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km. The second layer in the case of multiple
PMSE layer structures shows a maximum at about 86.3 km (the judging criteria
in regard to the multiple-layer PMSE; see Sect. 4.3). Firstly, we counted
the total number of electron density at altitudes of 80–90 km and then counted
the number of electron density satisfying the PMSE threshold
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) in the period when the PMSE is
known to be present (if electron density satisfies the threshold
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, we identify layered PMSEs existing at
this moment). The ratio between the numbers of layered PMSE electron
density values larger than the threshold and the numbers of total electron
density at altitudes of 80–90 km was calculated. The double-layer and
tri-layer PMSE ORs calculated by this method are higher than the layered PMSE
OR calculated by the method given in Sect. 4.2. The correlation
coefficients were calculated between the PMSE OR and the 10.7 cm of the solar
flux index (F10.7) and between the PMSE OR and geomagnetic K index,
respectively. The PMSEs have been identified only for the time of PMSE
duration longer than 1 min (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> min). Because the integration times of
the manda and arcd models are 4.8 and 2 s, respectively, on the basis of the
condition (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> min), the PMSE is needed to be for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 30 data
points, respectively.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2">
  <label>5.2</label><title>Layered PMSE OR under different electron density thresholds</title>
      <p id="d1e1762">In this section, the day of the first occurrence of PMSEs in 2004
(regardless of duration) was recorded as 1, and the day with the later
occurrence of PMSEs increased by sequence. Using this sequence as the
horizontal axis and layered PMSE ORs with different electron density
thresholds as the vertical axis, the results are shown in Figs. 5, 6, and 7.
That is, Figs. 5,  6, and 7 show PMSE mono-, double-, and tri-layer ORs
under different electron density thresholds, respectively. In the calculation
method section we have defined the electron density threshold
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). Here, we give the layered PMSE ORs
with thresholds <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively. We found that
the variation trends of the layered PMSE ORs with different thresholds are largely
consistent. In addition, the larger the threshold, the smaller the ratio.
Smirnova et al. (2010) analyzed day-to-day and year-to-year variations of
the PMSE ORs for different thresholds. They found that the choice of the
threshold does not influence the shape of the variation curves for the PMSE ORs.
Zeller and Bremer (2009) indicated that different threshold values are for
the investigations of the influence of geomagnetic activity on PMSEs,
however, of less importance. They both think that the variation trends of
PMSE ORs with different thresholds are consistent. The aim of choosing five
different thresholds is also to increase the number of samples for
calculating the correlation coefficients between the layered PMSE OR and
F10.7 and between the layered PMSE OR and K index. Since these occurrence
ratios are calculated in the case where the occurrence of PMSEs is
determined, it is recognized that these occurrence rates are reliable. It is
well known that the period of 2006–2009 is solar minimum and 2012 is solar
maximum, but the PMSE mono- and double-layer average OR in 2007 is not
consistent with solar activity. In other words, there is no obvious
correlation between the mono- and double-layer PMSE OR and solar activity.
In addition, we found that the tri-layer PMSE OR and solar activity are in opposite
directions. To prove the conclusion, we will calculate the correlation
coefficient between the layered PMSE ORs and solar activity and between the layered
PMSE ORs and geomagnetic activity in the next section. Therefore, the
correlation between them can be judged directly.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e1973">PMSE monolayer occurrence ratio under different electron density
thresholds, with the axis at the top showing the time in years.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e1984">PMSE double-layer occurrence ratio under different electron density
thresholds, with the axis at the top showing the time in years.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e1996">PMSE tri-layer occurrence ratio under different electron density
thresholds, with the axis at the top showing the time in years.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3">
  <label>5.3</label><title>Effect of solar and geomagnetic activity on the PMSE OR</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3.SSS1">
  <label>5.3.1</label><title>F10.7 index and K index</title>
      <p id="d1e2020">The F10.7 index is a measure of the solar radio flux per unit frequency
at a wavelength of 10.7 cm, near the peak of the observed solar radio
emission. F10.7 is often expressed in SFU or solar flux units (1 SFU <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">22</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz<inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). It represents a
measure of diffuse, nonradiative coronal plasma heating. It is an excellent
indicator of overall solar activity levels and correlates well with solar UV
emissions. The K index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component
of Earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9, with 1 being calm
and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum
fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a
3 h interval. The K index was introduced by Julius Bartels in
1939 (Bartels et al., 1939). The K-index values used in the paper are the
median of the K index observed on a magnetometer during a day, where the
effect of the heating experiments was removed.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3.SSS2">
  <label>5.3.2</label><title>Correlation coefficients</title>
      <p id="d1e2074">A correlation coefficient is a numerical measure of some type of
correlation, meaning a statistical relationship between two variables (Boddy
and Smith, 2009). The Pearson correlation coefficient known as Pearson's
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is a measure of the strength and direction of the linear relationship
between two variables that is defined as the covariance of the variables
divided by the product of their standard deviations. Given a pair of random variables (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), the formula for Pearson's correlation
coefficient <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is
(Wilks, 1995)

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.Ex1"><mml:math id="M61" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cov</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where cov is the covariance,  <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the standard deviation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>,
and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the standard deviation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <?pagebreak page423?><p id="d1e2187">Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is a measure of how well the
relationship between two variables can be described by a monotonic function.
The Spearman correlation between two variables is equal to the Pearson
correlation between the rank values of those two variables. While Pearson's
correlation assesses linear relationships, Spearman's correlation assesses
monotonic relationships (whether linear or not) (Myers and Well, 2003). For
a sample of size <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> raw scores <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are converted to ranks <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is computed from

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.Ex2"><mml:math id="M73" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cov</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cov</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the covariance of the rank variables,  and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the standard deviations of the
rank variables.</p>
      <p id="d1e2398"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>A high value (approaching <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.00</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is a strong direct relationship, values
near 0.50 are considered moderate, and values below 0.30 are considered to
show a weak relationship. A low negative value (approaching <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.00</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is
similarly a strong inverse relationship, and values near 0.00 indicate
little if any relationship.</p>
      <p id="d1e2422">To determine whether a result is statistically significant, a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value is
calculated which is the probability of observing an effect of the same
magnitude or more extreme given that the null hypothesis is true (Devore,
2011). The null hypothesis is rejected if the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value is less than a
predetermined level (usually <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is called
the significance level, and it is the probability of rejecting the null
hypothesis given that it is true (a type I error).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e2461"><bold>(a)</bold> The variations of F10.7 values corresponding to the
occurrence of PMSEs with the axis at the top showing the time in years. <bold>(b)</bold> The
variations of geomagnetic K-index values corresponding to the occurrence of
PMSEs with the axis at the top showing the time in years.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f08.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<?pagebreak page424?><sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3.SSS3">
  <label>5.3.3</label><title>Correlation between the layered PMSE OR, F10.7, and K index</title>
      <p id="d1e2483">Figure 8 shows the variations of F10.7 and geomagnetic K-index values
corresponding to the occurrence of PMSEs. The correlation of PMSEs with solar
and geomagnetic activities is not expected to be affected by discontinuous
PMSEs because of the F10.7 and K values corresponding to the occurrence
of PMSEs with a threshold of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. So, the
study of relations between PMSEs and solar activities and between PMSEs and
geomagnetic activities makes sense. The relation between the layered PMSE OR and
F10.7 and between layered PMSE OR and K values can be analyzed for the
results shown in conjunction with Figs. 5 through 8. In order to examine
the correlation between the layered PMSE OR and F10.7 and between the layered
PMSE OR and K index, all the data points of the PMSE OR, F10.7, and K index
with simultaneous occurrence were combined. Figure 9 shows the correlation
coefficients computed by combing all the points of the PMSE OR (with thresholds
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and F10.7 and the K index with simultaneous occurrence, and
we apply a significant test. It is seen from Fig. 9 that the layered PMSE OR is
positively correlated with the K index and that the coefficients indicate a
moderate correlation between the variables, whereas the correlation
coefficients between the PMSE monolayer and F10.7, and the double-layer OR and F10.7,
both are very low, indicating that their correlation is weak or even
irrelevant. Interestingly, we found that the PMSE tri-layer OR has a
negative correlation with F10.7, although the correlation was lower
than what we have supposed. This finding has never been published in the previous
literature. Hence, it is indicated that the cases with positive values play
a decisive role when calculating the correlation coefficient between the
data points of PMSEs and the K index occurring simultaneously, and events with
negative values dominate in the calculation of the correlation coefficient
between the tri-layer PMSE OR and F10.7. But a mono- or double-layer PMSE OR has
rare relevance with F10.7.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e2694">Pearson linear and Spearman rank correlation computed between the layered
PMSE OR (with thresholds <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively) and F10.7
corresponding to the occurrence of PMSEs and between the layered PMSE OR and K
index corresponding to the occurrence of PMSEs, respectively. For each
correlation coefficient, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value is less than 0.05. The horizontal dotted
line is drawn to separate positive and negative correlation coefficients.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://angeo.copernicus.org/articles/37/417/2019/angeo-37-417-2019-f09.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e2881">The correlations between the layered PMSE OR and F10.7 and between the layered
PMSE OR and K index have been obtained. They indicate that there are many
complicated factors for the formation and development of PMSEs besides solar
and geomagnetic activities. There are explanations for these results: on the one
hand, the enhanced solar activity increases the electron density due to the
increase in ionization, and with the increase in solar radiation, the
photodissociation enhances and the water vapor content is reduced. On the
other hand, the positive correlation between the PMSE OR and K index may be
apprehensible, because the enhanced magnetic activity caused precipitating
particles to increase in the mesosphere and led to an increase in electron
densities. Latteck and Bremer (2013) show that PMSEs are caused<?pagebreak page425?> by
inhomogeneities in the electron density of the radar Bragg scale within the
plasma of the cold summer mesopause region in the presence of negatively
charged ice particles. Thus, the occurrence of PMSEs contains information
about mesospheric temperature and water vapor content but also depends on
the ionization due to solar electromagnetic radiation and precipitating high-energetic particles. However, we still cannot explain why there is a
negative correlation between the tri-layer PMSE OR and F10.7. This should
be noted in future research.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>6</label><title>Summary and conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e2894">In this paper, the PMSE occurrence ratios with monolayers, double layers and
tri layers detected by EISCAT VHF radar during a solar cycle have been
presented. The daily and seasonal variation of the layered PMSEs was
analyzed. We implemented a method to provide more accurate conclusions about
the study of the long-term variation of PMSEs with different thresholds. The
correlation between layered PMSEs and solar radiation flux (F10.7) and
between layered PMSEs and geomagnetic activity (K index) was given. The
following conclusions were reached.
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e2899">Mono-, double-, and tri-layer PMSEs have different seasonal behaviors.
Monolayer PMSEs often begin in late May, reach their maximum in early June
or mid-June, keep this level until the end of July or beginning of August,
and gradually decrease or vanish when they are close to the end of August or
the beginning of September in general, which is in agreement with the
earlier report (Smirnova et al., 2011). The double-layer PMSE OR reaches its
maximum in mid-July and simply fades away in early August. The tri-layer PMSE
appears later and disappears earlier in comparison with mono- and
double-layer PMSEs, and it is large at the end of June and in early July.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e2903">The variation trends of mono-, double-, and tri-layer PMSE ORs under
different electron density thresholds are greatly consistent. It is found
that the larger the threshold, the smaller the ratio. Beyond that, PMSE mono-
and double-layer ORs are not associated with solar activity. The PMSE tri-layer
OR is inversely proportional to solar activity.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e2907">The layered PMSE OR is positively correlated with the K index. The
correlation between the PMSE mono- and double-layer OR and F10.7 is
relatively weak, and the PMSE tri-layer OR has a negative correlation with
F10.7.</p></list-item></list></p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e2914">All EISCAT data used in this work have been downloaded at <uri>https://www.eiscat.se/schedule/schedule.cgi</uri> (last access: 27 May 2019).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e2923">SG designed this study, carried out statistics, analyzed the results
and wrote the manuscript. HL participated in the design of the study
and the analysis of the results. TX and MZ helped with the
conceptual ideas for the paper. MW and LM managed this study
and participated in language grammar modification. SU and AR
participated in modifying language issues and provided<?pagebreak page426?> a lot of suggestions
about the revised manuscript. All authors read and approved the final
manuscript.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e2929">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sistatement"><title>Special issue statement</title>

      <p id="d1e2935">This article is part of the special issue “7th Brazilian meeting on space geophysics and aeronomy”. It is a result of the Brazilian meeting on Space Geophysics and Aeronomy, Santa Maria/RS, Brazil, 05–09 November 2018.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e2941">We acknowledge EISCAT, which is an international association supported by China, Finland, Japan, Norway, Sweden, and the UK. We would like to thank  Wen Yi, who gave us valuable opinions and suggestions for the revised manuscript.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e2946">This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no. 41104097 and no. 41304119). This study is also supported by the National Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Environment, China Research Institute of Radiowave Propagation (no. 201702003).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e2952">This paper was edited by Igo Paulino and reviewed by Mani Sivakandan and one anonymous referee.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Characteristics of the layered polar mesosphere summer echoes occurrence ratio observed by EISCAT VHF 224&thinsp;MHz radar</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>Polar mesosphere summer echoes (PMSEs) are strong radar echoes
observed in the polar mesopause during the local summer. Observations of layered
PMSEs carried out by the European Incoherent Scatter Scientific Association
very-high-frequency (EISCAT VHF) radar during 2004–2015 in the latest solar
cycle are used to study the variations of the PMSE occurrence ratio (OR).
Different seasonal behavior of PMSEs is found by analyzing the seasonal
variation of PMSE mono-, double-, and tri-layer OR. A method was used to
calculate the PMSE mono, double-, and tri-layer OR under a different electron
density threshold. In addition, a method to analyze the correlation of
the layered PMSE OR with the solar 10.7&thinsp;cm flux index (F10.7) and geomagnetic K
index is proposed. Based on it, the correlation of the layered PMSE OR with
solar and geomagnetic activities is not expected to be affected by
discontinuous PMSEs. It is found that PMSE mono-, double-, and tri-layer ORs are
positively correlated with the K index. The correlation of the PMSE mono- and
double-layer OR with F10.7 is weak, whereas the PMSE tri-layer OR shows
a negative correlation with F10.7.</p></abstract-html>
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